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Could Perry stage a comeback? (Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour seems to think so)
Hot Air ^ | December 4, 2011 | Karl

Posted on 12/04/2011 9:07:28 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour seems to think so:

Q: Is it becoming clear that Mitt Romney will emerge as the Republican nominee?

A: I don’t think it’s clear. I think people make the mistake of writing off Rick Perry and believe he can’t come back. He’s got a mountain to get over, but I don’t think it’s impossible. Both Newt and Romney have a lot of support, but I don’t think it’s a two-man race. I think Perry could get back in it with Gingrich and Romney. I can’t look you in the eye and say nobody else can come up. You’ve got to learn your lesson this year not to say that about anybody."

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Coincidentally, this subject came up a day or so earlier on Twitter, in a conversation involving Allahpundit, blogger Karol Markowicz, fundraiser/adviser Nathan Wurtzel and me. AP, skeptical of a possible comeback, asked me what I thought Perry would have to do to get back into contention.

I think the first and most difficult step is for Perry to stop being a bad candidate. He has gotten a bit better under the radar, but needs to continue to improve.

If Perry does improve, he may stand a shot at placing third in the Iowa caucuses. The new Des Moines Register poll has Perry near the bottom at six percent, but the poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. PPP has a poll in the field in Iowa and teases that Perry appears to be in double digits.

The Register poll shows more respondents choose Gingrich as their second choice than any other candidate. However, Perry could benefit not only from Herman Cain’s collapse, but also from lingering doubts about Gingrich.

In Iowa, the doubts will primarily come from the religious right. In past cycles, social conservatives ensured victories for candidates like Pat Robertson and Mike Huckabee. This year, there is no consensus candidate.

Newt — he of the serial infidelities and divorces — bought himself some goodwill with some religious conservatives by pouring $150,000 into the successful 2010 campaign to oust three Iowa Supreme Court judges after the state’s high court struck down a state ban on same-sex marriage. But even that support has proved controversial among social cons in Iowa. And Newt probably did not help himself with them by telling Jake Tapper human life begins at implantation rather than conception.

Michelle Bachmann also hurt herself recently with this demographic by gaining access to the email database of a group of parents who homeschool their children in Iowa and sending them two unsolicited email blasts. Nor does there appear to be any groundswell in Iowa for Rick Santorum.

Perry seems to have figured all of this out; his latest ad is aimed squarely at religious conservatives. If Perry climbs back into third place (or at least ties it with Ron Paul) in Iowa, he has a shot at maintaining a viable campaign. There is the traditional spin about there being three tickets out of Iowa and Perry — like Romney and Gingrich — is blessed by his rivals. Conservative voters are looking for a viable NotRomney, and while they are currently flocking to Gingrich, all the polling suggests his support (like those for his rivals) remains soft.

NotRomney voters may also be looking for an insurance policy, given Gingrich’s demonstrated propensity to implode. Indeed, Gingrich looked as though he had his final implosion just a few months ago. And if Newt can make a comeback, it is possible that Perry could do the same. But it’s not likely unless Perry continues to improve his campaign over the next month.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Military/Veterans; Politics
KEYWORDS: campaign; conservatism; economy; perry2012
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To: smoothsailing
IF IT WASN'T FOR TEXAS


41 posted on 12/04/2011 11:31:54 AM PST by shield (Rev 2:9 Woe unto those who say they are Judahites and are not, but are of the syna GOG ue of Satan.)
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To: Prokopton

How stupid would a politician be to be invited to an event to speak and call them racists? You go, you speak your piece and make your points just like Perry did. That’s how you try to make a REAL difference, not just make debate society points on anonymous websites. Read the text of his speech. It’s damned good.

Oh, and guess what. Getting elected is pretty damned important. Surprisingly, that’s the only place you can get much done in politics.


42 posted on 12/04/2011 11:39:22 AM PST by magritte
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
I guess you didn’t listen to the speech.

Thank you. I hadn't heard that speech in some time. Much worse than I remembered. I was leaning towards Perry but now I realize that would be a mistake. Pandering to an anti-American group like La Razza is just too much for me. And he had his usual difficulty in speaking even at this event, an inability that he demonstrated in every debate. Perry cannot be trusted to lead the Country for the benefit of Americans. Too bad, there are not many choices left.

43 posted on 12/04/2011 12:39:34 PM PST by Prokopton
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Since there is no way that Obama will ever debate Newt that means his debate skills advantage is not so important.

And since Perry’s debate expectations are so incredibly low that all he would need to do is show up to break even he gets the debate advantage.

I will support and vote for either Newt or Perry, I will not support MittWitt....not ever.

I hope Perry gets the nomination.


44 posted on 12/04/2011 12:46:23 PM PST by Bobalu (even Jesus knew the poor would always be with us)
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To: Lib-Lickers 2

I was very willing to give Perry a shot when he got in the race. But the more he talks the less impressed I am. Conservatives lose on the message front every time. Can you imagine what the MSM will do with Perry if he is president? We need someone who can articulate the conservative message even if they are not perfect conservatives. Even Romney can at least get the fiscal conservative message out there without sounding like a dunce, even if he isn’t actually a fiscal conservative. There is going to come a point soon, if we haven’t hit it already, where elections won’t matter because a majority of the electorate will no longer believe in capitalism.


45 posted on 12/04/2011 1:19:53 PM PST by douginthearmy (Still undecided.)
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To: Bobalu

since when don’t the Republican and Democrat candidates not debate at least 2 to 3 times before a national election?


46 posted on 12/04/2011 1:23:57 PM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: Bobalu

since when don’t the Republican and Democrat candidates not debate at least 2 to 3 times before a national election?


47 posted on 12/04/2011 1:24:06 PM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: Bobalu

since when don’t the Republican and Democrat candidates not debate at least 2 to 3 times before a national election?


48 posted on 12/04/2011 1:24:15 PM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: Bobalu

since when don’t the Republican and Democrat candidates not debate at least 2 to 3 times before a national election?


49 posted on 12/04/2011 1:24:37 PM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: magritte
>>The very fact that he even SPOKE to LaRaza<<

It doesn't bother you that Perry spoke at the National council of the Race?

Could you imagine if there were an organization for whites called “The Race”?

Perry would be skewered.

I guess it is ok if the organization called “THE RACE” (La Raza) is primarily of hispanic origin.

50 posted on 12/04/2011 1:49:38 PM PST by servantboy777
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
He loves this country and will make conservatives proud.

I agree with you there. I was for Perry before I was against him (I just love writing that), but with Cain gone, I find myself reconsidering Perry. Now, if he just doesn't pull any Bachmann-style stunts to try and jumpstart his support, he might have another chance. Newt will flame out in a blaze of glory; this nomination ain't close to being settled.

51 posted on 12/04/2011 2:35:09 PM PST by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: Bringbackthedraft

If a person can battle back, after being deflated by the media, they get a lot of immunity from further media charges, because the media at that point just looks vindictive.


52 posted on 12/04/2011 3:33:42 PM PST by Jonty30 (If a person won't learn under the best of times, than he must learn under the worst of times.)
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To: Nonstatist

And as president, you don’t need to make snap decisions.

There is nothing wrong with, after getting advice from your advisers to think for five minutes, ..., ten minutes,..., going for lunch,..., having supper,..., six hours, before making a decision.


53 posted on 12/04/2011 3:43:04 PM PST by Jonty30 (If a person won't learn under the best of times, than he must learn under the worst of times.)
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To: Nonstatist

And as president, you don’t need to make snap decisions.

There is nothing wrong with, after getting advice from your advisers to think for five minutes, ..., ten minutes,..., going for lunch,..., having supper,..., six hours, before making a decision.


54 posted on 12/04/2011 3:43:21 PM PST by Jonty30 (If a person won't learn under the best of times, than he must learn under the worst of times.)
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To: Nonstatist

And as president, you don’t need to make snap decisions.

There is nothing wrong with, after getting advice from your advisers to think for five minutes, ..., ten minutes,..., going for lunch,..., having supper,..., six hours, before making a decision.


55 posted on 12/04/2011 3:43:26 PM PST by Jonty30 (If a person won't learn under the best of times, than he must learn under the worst of times.)
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To: Nonstatist

And as president, you don’t need to make snap decisions.

There is nothing wrong with, after getting advice from your advisers to think for five minutes, ..., ten minutes,..., going for lunch,..., having supper,..., six hours, before making a decision.


56 posted on 12/04/2011 3:43:29 PM PST by Jonty30 (If a person won't learn under the best of times, than he must learn under the worst of times.)
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To: Prokopton

Your getting your LaRaza groups mixed up.

The one Perry talked to does not believe in Reconquista.

You are referring to Raza Unida which has nothing to do with NCLR.

Here are some facts and you can research to find out for yourself at the NCLR website: http://www.nclr.org/index.php/about_us/faqs/the_truth_about_nclr/other_issues/

Some critics mistakenly assert that activist Professor Jose Angel Gutierrez was a founder of NCLR.

In fact, while Gutierrez was a key player in a number of Mexican American organizations, including the Mexican American Youth Organization (MAYO), the Brown Berets, and the Raza Unida Political Party, he never had any connection to NCLR.

Indeed Jose Angel Gutierrez himself has articulated a clear distinction between himself and his allies and NCLR, an organization he criticizes as being “cautious and careful.”


http://www.nclr.org/index.php/about_us/faqs/the_truth_about_nclr/reconquista_and_segregation/

misconception about NCLR is the allegation that we support a “Reconquista,” or the right of Mexico to reclaim land in the southwestern United States.

NCLR has not made and does not make any such claim; indeed, such a claim is so far outside of the mainstream of the Latino community that we find it incredible that our critics raise it as an issue.

NCLR has never supported and does not endorse the notion of a “Reconquista” or “Aztlán.” Similarly, NCLR’s critics falsely claim that the statement “Por La Raza todo, Fuera de La Raza nada,” [“For the community everything, outside the community nothing”] is NCLR’s motto.

NCLR unequivocally rejects this statement.


People, please do not be deceived.

Many of the people putting out this deceptive, lying and misinformation are not Republicans.

Don’t fall for it - find out the truth yourself.

Perry is a Conservative Republican.
He is Pro-Life
He is Pro-2nd Amendment

He will secure the border. He is against Anchor Baby Law.
He is against Amnesty.

Please quit believing the lies.

Perry is the most conservative candidate running.
The one with the most experience, the one with less baggage, the one who has a good marriage to one women and the one who is the strongest on illegal immigration.


57 posted on 12/04/2011 4:20:40 PM PST by TexMom7
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To: servantboy777

See my post #57.

(from NCLR)

http://www.nclr.org/index.php/about_us/faqs/the_truth_about_nclr/the_translation_of_our_name/

“Many people incorrectly translate our name, “La Raza,” as “the race.” While it is true that one meaning of “raza” in Spanish is indeed “race,” in Spanish, as in English and any other language, words can and do have multiple meanings. As noted in several online dictionaries, “La Raza” means “the people” or “the community.” Translating our name as “the race” is not only inaccurate, it is factually incorrect. “Hispanic” is an ethnicity, not a race. As anyone who has ever met a Dominican American, Mexican American, or Spanish American can attest, Hispanics can be and are members of any and all races.”


58 posted on 12/04/2011 4:23:50 PM PST by TexMom7
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To: TexMom7

Riiiiight


59 posted on 12/04/2011 4:32:40 PM PST by servantboy777
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To: servantboy777
Ignorance is excusable but nothing is more detestable than willful ignorance, servantboy.
60 posted on 12/04/2011 5:32:32 PM PST by John Valentine (Deep in the Heart of Texas)
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