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Even Goldman Sachs Secretly Believes That An Economic Collapse Is Coming
TEC ^ | 9-1-2011

Posted on 09/01/2011 9:01:59 PM PDT by blam

Even Goldman Sachs Secretly Believes That An Economic Collapse Is Coming

September 1, 2011

Even Goldman Sachs is doing it again. Goldman is telling the public that everything is going to be just fine, but meanwhile they are advising their top clients to bet on a huge financial collapse.

On August 16th, a 54 page report authored by Goldman strategist Alan Brazil was distributed to institutional clients. The general public was not intended to see this report. Fortunately, some folks over at the Wall Street Journal got their hands on a copy and they have filled us in on some of the details. It turns out that Goldman Sachs secretly believes that an economic collapse is coming, and they have some very interesting ideas about how to make money in the turbulent financial environment that we will soon be entering. In the report, Brazil says that the U.S. debt problem cannot be solved with more debt, that the European sovereign debt crisis is going to get even worse and that there are large numbers of financial institutions in Europe that are on the verge of collapse. If this is what people at the highest levels of the financial world are talking about, perhaps we should all start paying attention.

There is a tremendous amount of fear in the global financial community right now. As I wrote about the other day, the financial world is about to hit the panic button. Things could start falling apart at any time. Most of these big banks will not admit how bad things are publicly, but privately there is a whole lot of freaking out going on.

According to the Wall Street Journal, Brazil believes that "as much as $1 trillion in capital may be needed to shore up European banks; that small businesses in the U.S., a past driver of job production, are still languishing; and that China's growth may not be sustainable."

Perhaps most startling of all is what the report has to say about the debt problems of the United States and Europe.

For example, this following excerpt from the report sounds like it could have come straight from The Economic Collapse Blog....

“Solving a debt problem with more debt has not solved the underlying problem. In the US, Treasury debt growth financed the US consumer but has not had enough of an impact on job growth. Can the US continue to depreciate the world’s base currency?”

Remember, this statement was not written by some guy on the Internet. A top Goldman Sachs analyst put it into a report for institutional investors.

The report also goes into great detail about the financial crisis in Europe. Brazil writes about how the euro is headed for trouble and about how dozens of financial institutions in Europe could potentially be in danger of collapse.

But in any environment Goldman Sachs thinks that it can make money. The following is how Business Insider summarized the advice that Brazil gave in the report regarding how to make money off of the impending collapse in Europe....

Buy a six-month put option on the Euro versus the Swiss Franc, thus betting the Euro will drop against the Franc (the Franc being the currency that an official Goldman report recently referred to as the most overvalued in the world) Buy a five-year credit default swap on an index of European corporate debt—the iTraxx 9. This is a bet that some of these companies will default, and your insurance policy, the CDS, will pay off This is so typical of Goldman Sachs. They will say one thing publicly and then turn around and do the total opposite privately.

For example, prior to the financial crisis of 2008, Goldman Sachs was putting together mortgage-backed securities that they knew were garbage and marketing them to investors as AAA-rated investments. On top of that, Goldman then often privately bet against those exact same securities.

The CEO of Goldman Sachs has even acknowledged that the investment bank engaged in "improper" behavior during 2006 and 2007.

For much more on the history of all this, please see this article: "How Goldman Sachs Made Tens Of Billions Of Dollars From The Economic Collapse Of America In Four Easy Steps".

So will Goldman Sachs ever get into serious trouble for any of this?

No, of course not.

Yeah, they will get a slap on the wrist from time to time, but the reality is that the top levels of the federal government are absolutely littered with ex-employees of Goldman Sachs. Goldman is one of the "too big to fail" banks and they are going to continue to do pretty much whatever they feel like doing.

Sadly, the power of the "too big to fail" banks just continues to grow. At this point, the "big six" U.S. banks (Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo) now possess assets equivalent to approximately 60 percent of America's gross national product.

Goldman Sachs was the second biggest donor to Barack Obama's campaign in 2008, so don't expect Obama to do anything about any of this.

We have a financial system that is deeply, deeply corrupt and all of that corruption is a big reason why things are falling apart.

Sadly, the 54 page report mentioned above is right - we really are facing a global debt meltdown and we really are heading for an economic collapse.

You aren't going to hear the truth from the mainstream media or from our politicians because "keeping people calm" is much more of a priority to them than telling the truth is.

The debt crisis in the United States is unsustainable and the debt crisis in Europe is unsustainable. Right now we are in the calm before the storm, and nobody knows exactly when the storm is going to strike.

But let there be no doubt - it is coming.

The amazing prosperity that we have enjoyed for the last several decades has largely been a debt-fueled illusion. It was a great party while it lasted, but now it is coming to an end and the aftermath of the coming crash is going to be absolutely horrific.

Keep watch and get prepared. We don't know exactly when the collapse is going to happen, but it is definitely on the way and now even Goldman Sachs is admitting that.


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: collapse; economiccollapse; economy; finance; goldmansachs; plutocracy; police; snobocracy; teachers
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To: chuckles

“At some point, the Fed will run out of ink and the market will set the rates.”

Yep. This is a possibility but I’m betting against it, not because of the Obama administration, but I don’t believe it will happen before Obama leaves.

Even with his topped out spending I don’t see him spending more than about another 3 billion pushing the overall debt to around 17 and a half billion by the time he’s gone.

That would be 120 percent of GDP, which is atrociously bad, but not at default levels.


21 posted on 09/02/2011 10:17:10 AM PDT by BenKenobi (Honkeys for Herman!)
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To: blam
This is the reason Obama care is necessary to the future of the US. If we can't make Soilent Green of the Boomers, then a nuclear war is a must. We can't possibly pay what we have promised, so I need to get elected president so I can choose who lives and dies so I and my family can get your lifelong contributions. I know I will get mine, but I'm sure if that happens, you won't get yours.

The projected shortfalls of the entitlements Ive heard is all over the ball park. A low figure was $100 trillion. Just the GSE's Fannie and Freddie are alleged to be in the $65 trillion area. All the money that exists in the world is about $65 trillion right now. It is depressing to the max to ponder what lies in front of my daughter to try to pay. I can foresee a life riding a moped and living in a tar paper shack. Liberals hate America so much they won't stop until we live the same as someone in Viet Nam.

22 posted on 09/02/2011 3:04:56 PM PDT by chuckles
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To: BenKenobi
It's not so much about the spending as much as it is confidence. Keep your eyes on Europe to see our future. As the end gets nearer, you will see the inevitability of default and the money men can't fiddle with it to fix it anymore. Greece is almost a sure bet now that nothing will stop their destruction. When that happens, the Euro Zone will cut them out like you pinch a pimple. Then you will see Italy, Portugal, Spain soon follow. Right now, everyone is still dedicated to keeping the spinning plates going on their sticks, so no one will admit just how bad things are. Reality always comes to the front and must be dealt with in the end.

America still believes the myth that we are "special" and can accomplish anything. I have felt that way all my life, but now about half the population is now certifiably mentally ill. Proof of that is what lives in the White House. If I knew better than to vote for him, how did he get elected?

If you elect an enemy of the State as president, why would you act surprised when he destroys the country? Mental illness.

23 posted on 09/02/2011 3:20:20 PM PDT by chuckles
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To: chuckles
"If you elect an enemy of the State as president, why would you act surprised when he destroys the country? Mental illness. "

An excellent tag line. I like it.

24 posted on 09/02/2011 4:55:27 PM PDT by blam
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To: chuckles

Where else is there?

That’s the question I asked. There is simply no where else to go. You know it, I know it. America is all that there is.

I did some figuring and I believe that worldwide, we can absorb about another 20 trillion in debt. That’s it. After that there are no more musical chairs and the game stops.

20 trillion between the US, and all of the EU. If the US runs a 10 percent deficit, and the EU runs a 10 percent deficit, that will generate debt every year at about 3 trillion a year. That would give the world about 7 years before ‘peak debt’ is all spent. 7 years.

Even with growth in the worldwide economy, the debt spending simply cannot go on. But things are not yet over.


25 posted on 09/02/2011 5:25:59 PM PDT by BenKenobi (Honkeys for Herman!)
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To: blam
Can the US continue to depreciate the world’s base currency?”

If the Fed deliberately harms the nation's currency, is it not treasonous? They called Perry crazy. What will they say about this GS analyst? He crazy too?

26 posted on 09/05/2011 9:50:41 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Travis McGee

Got NVG?

B-)


27 posted on 09/05/2011 10:14:24 AM PDT by papertyger
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To: Travis McGee; papertyger

28 posted on 09/05/2011 10:28:40 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Ya can’t eat gold, so buy bullets!

Er, wait a minute....

;o)


29 posted on 09/05/2011 10:44:36 AM PDT by papertyger
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To: blam

Hold on to your butts! :)


30 posted on 09/05/2011 1:21:46 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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