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When is the last time a GOP "establishment" guy ever lost the nomination?

Posted on 06/15/2011 7:35:03 AM PDT by no gnu taxes

I can't think of it. I mean McCain wasn't even the front runner last election for most of the race, and at this time in 2007, he was in serious trouble. But he was definitely the establishment guy and he ended up winning.

Is there any way we don't end up with a nominee Romney? I can only say that it's better than nominee McCain.


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To: no gnu taxes
It seemed inevitable to whom? Reagan waged a good campaign in ‘76 and inspired conservatives. He also inspired the progressive half of the Party, but not in a good way. They feared and loathed him and they controlled the party apparatus.

Conservatives heard his convention speech and saw an excruciating missed opportunity. Progressives saw a dodged bullet. They weren't thinking that Reagan would be their guy the next time around. They were thinking they'd buried him for good. They had fought the tooth and nail battle to which you refer and assumed that their victory was both decisive and final. On both sides of the great divide the thinking was that Reagan's time had passed.

You have forgotten that the early front-runner in 1980 wasn't Reagan but Gerald Ford, who was the Establishment's first choice. It only got to be Reagan's turn because Ford stepped aside. Even then Bob Dole had a good claim to be the next in line as Ford's running mate.

Reagan didn't have an Establishment wind at his back at any time in the 1980 election cycle. He wasn't quite the insurgent he was in 1976 because there was no incumbent GOP President in the race, but he was still running against those who traditionally control the party who have given us Hoover, Landon, Wilke, Dewey, Eisenhower, Nixon, Ford, Bush, Dole, Bush and McCain, progressives all.

There was nothing inevitable about Reagan. His presidency resulted from a series of improbable events that nobody anticipated as the 1980 cycle got underway (let alone in ‘76). For once the Establishment was frustrated and conservatives caught lightening in a bottle. It's rare, but it happened once and it can happen again.

41 posted on 06/15/2011 9:33:38 AM PDT by fluffdaddy (Who died and made the Supreme Court God?)
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To: fluffdaddy

Damn straight. Good post.


42 posted on 06/15/2011 9:40:01 AM PDT by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free!)
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To: no gnu taxes

Before Reagan, there was Goldwater. The establishment candidate was Nelson Rockefeller.


43 posted on 06/15/2011 9:41:18 AM PDT by mjp ((pro-{God, reality, reason, egoism, individualism, natural rights, limited government, capitalism}))
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To: no gnu taxes

44 posted on 06/15/2011 9:44:07 AM PDT by EternalVigilance ('We hold these truths to be self-evident...' Are you still part of that 'we'?)
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To: fluffdaddy

You might recall that in national polls leading up to the Primaries, Reagan was vastly ahead of all other candidates.


45 posted on 06/15/2011 9:50:04 AM PDT by no gnu taxes
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To: no gnu taxes
vastly ahead ≠ "Establishment". Reagan was the pre-primary front-runner.

And, vastly ahead isn't even close to a description of the reality of that campaign as shown in post #38. And the reason it was so close? ... IMHO, because the 'Establishment' didn't want Reagan.

46 posted on 06/15/2011 10:08:45 AM PDT by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free!)
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To: no gnu taxes
Of course Reagan was ahead in early polling once Ford opted out. He had the same advantage Romney has now — he was the only familiar name in the field. Everyone with the name recognition to compete in a pre-campaign poll chose not to run. That advantage disappeared when Bush won Iowa. Suddenly Reagan was down in NH by more than 20 points and swirling in the drain. He managed to turn it around, but it was a near-run thing (the incident at Nashua High School was pivotal) and a lesser candidate couldn't have managed it.

There may have been someone, somewhere foolish enough to think Reagan was inevitable as 1979 became 1980. John Sears may have been overconfident. But Reagan always faced a hard uphill climb against a hostile Party apparatus and it was only by the grace of God that things turned out as they did.

47 posted on 06/15/2011 10:14:55 AM PDT by fluffdaddy (Who died and made the Supreme Court God?)
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To: Servant of the Cross
Nice.

I remember sitting with my Mom, watching TV on inauguration day with the split screen showing Reagan being sworn in while the Iranian hostages were being released, and thinking that I had to remember how that felt, being so overwhelmed with pride and happiness and not let myself forget.

48 posted on 06/15/2011 1:09:30 PM PDT by Deb (Beat him, strip him and bring him to my tent!)
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To: Deb
I remember sitting with my Mom, watching TV on inauguration day with the split screen showing Reagan being sworn in while the Iranian hostages were being released ...

BTW, where did the Reagan = Establishment folks go?

49 posted on 06/15/2011 1:14:19 PM PDT by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free!)
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To: thackney

True that! I really admire(d) her in the day.


50 posted on 06/15/2011 1:17:51 PM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Demons run when a good man goes to war.)
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To: Grunthor
G my FRiend seems like you are having a rough day, vanity and all.

How is that pregnancy thing going?

51 posted on 06/15/2011 1:22:01 PM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Demons run when a good man goes to war.)
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To: mad_as_he$$

“How is that pregnancy thing going?”

Grrrr....Her horomones are being...well, horomonal.


52 posted on 06/15/2011 1:33:34 PM PDT by Grunthor (Make the lefts' collective brain cell implode; Cain/Bolton 2012.)
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To: Servant of the Cross

I missed another dust-up? Bloody work!!!


53 posted on 06/15/2011 1:34:28 PM PDT by Deb (Beat him, strip him and bring him to my tent!)
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To: mad_as_he$$

You’ll notice that of the two choices given the to the creep, he chose the latter.


54 posted on 06/15/2011 1:35:16 PM PDT by Grunthor (Make the lefts' collective brain cell implode; Cain/Bolton 2012.)
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To: Moby Grape

“My guess is Ronald Reagan..”

We have a winner.


55 posted on 06/15/2011 1:35:34 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: smokingfrog
“Gerald Ford...”

Gerald Ford barely beat Reagan in 1976. He was a Henry Kissinger Rino. “Leslie King” was so bad he named Nelson Rockefeller as veep and then Bob Dole. He was a pathetic member of the establishment. Not to mention he let Carter play "Dixie" in his southern radio ads and run as the conservative in the race.

56 posted on 06/15/2011 1:40:10 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: Grunthor

Yes, I did!


57 posted on 06/15/2011 1:42:23 PM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Demons run when a good man goes to war.)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius
“Ronald Reagan almost defeated Gerald Ford for the GOP nomination in 1976, setting himself as the candidate most likely to win the nomination in 1980. He was the establishment choice in 1980.”

Have to disagree with you there. I was working for an NPR affiliate station and throughout late 1979, they were running favorable stories about George Bush. The press nearly ran Reagan out of the race after his defeat in Iowa. Bush was the Rino favorite, with liberal John Anderson thrown in for good measure. Only after Reagan wiped Bush out in the southern and western primaries did the establishment make peace with him, and even then they tried to foist Gerald Ford on him as veep at the GOP convention.

58 posted on 06/15/2011 1:45:18 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: no gnu taxes
For the same reason the America elects a loser like Obama, the East Coast states elect Snowe, Collins, Specter, Brown, Graham, etc,,,.

The American electorate is the cause of the problem. And with the newer generations coming into power, the trend is not going our way. It's only getting worse. Socialism is now considered the best form of government by most of the drones living in the Urban sprawl.

America has lost it's moral direction and the compass is broken. It seems like it will have to completely fail first before it can be rebuilt.

But the question remains; Are these new generations who are rapidly taking charge, capable of knowing how to rebuild it into what it was originally meant to be according to the Constitution?

59 posted on 06/15/2011 1:46:10 PM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Always Remember You're Unique.......(Just Like everyone Else.))
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