Posted on 04/13/2011 10:13:49 AM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist
Will she or won’t she run for President?
I once laid out the reasons why Sarah Palin has a better shot of becoming president than Barack Obama did before Obama announced his candidacy during the 2008 election cycle.
And while conventional wisdom among the chattering class continues to lean against Palin mounting a presidential run, Palin has been courting the conservative base while not alienating swing voters in swing states such as Ohio, Colorado, and Florida better than any potential GOP contender.
Too often, those who cover Palin do not listen to her words or read her statements, Facebook postings, or tweets. As a result, conventional wisdom holds that Palin is setting herself up to be an entertainer, a conservative money maker, or a right-wing flame thrower who seeks only to rouse up the conservative base and get rich quick off of it. If those who proffer these theories had listened to and read her words closely, they would know that Palin has been telling everyone that she is running for president in 2012. Here are ten reasons why.
(Excerpt) Read more at humanevents.com ...
Palin only wants a return to Constitutional government. I am sadly aware that many oppose her on this.
It seems your understanding of the circumstances might be very inaccurate.
Let’s start with this concept: There are two possibilities regarding Palin’s “popularity.” Either she likes the popularity for its own sake, or she would prefer, when she’s done with politics, that it go away.
Do you think you understand Sarah Palin well enough to know which of these possibilities is in fact true?
Apparently I struck a nerve with Nerdman Turner, though.
You just sent me in a particular direction and I had to contribute.
Leo (not really Leo).
P.S. Nerdman Turner in this instance = Polybius.
ATTN: Polybius
Pity some can't take constructive criticism or ‘bona fortuna.’ (I'd explain, but my fourth grade education prevents me from adding any further information to this post).
Pity that I wasted those years as a College Instructor... You're doing swell, though!
Keep up the FANTASTIC posts! You've got us down, we can't match use’alls brains ‘n stuff! Please don't go for the kill shot!
did some more checking looks like it has been done only 24 times since WW2. still a hard thing to do.
http://www.npr.org/blogs/politicaljunkie/2010/01/governors_knocked_off_in_the_p.html
Document your implication that money and campaign people are not being lined up for campaigns. And then document your implication that Bachman is not already on the campaign trail.
I implied no such things.
I’ll raise your implication by a couple more of my claims at some moment when I’m as interested in yours as you are mine. Get over yourself and buck up. This is an opinion thread.
All I did was challenge you to back up your opinions with some facts. That's how things work around here. It will happen again. You need to "buck up" and get over your defensiveness and sensitivity.
The others there all have a agenda. Did you not knows that the MSM/all the polls at RCP, are pushing Romney and Huckabee for a long time now?
Now they are pushing MB and Trump.
The Science of polling is dead in 2011, unless the subject is non political
No I do not expect you to agree with me, just that polling is something I feel strongly about...in that it is garbage science when done by biased partisan media outlets, as all those are.
Would I feel differently If Sarah Palin was leading all those? I would still be suspicious. Notice that PPP the one that is openly Democrat has Sarah Palin at 16, but no I do not trust it either.
CNN,NBC,PEW,PPP give me a freakin break..
AND Fox opinion Dynamics? total garbage track record going back to Bush Kerry, when they released a poll over Halloween weekend, just a couple days before the 2004 election, showing Kerry up. They had the guy on Fox after the election that was in charge of the poll at the time, said they were suspicious of the poll, taken on a holiday weekend in the evening, but released it anyway.
The science of polling is dead.
Gallup is in the tank for dems, has been since George Gallup sold the business some years ago.
George Gallup was a pioneer in polling, wonderful Christian man, but Gallup is just another partisan polling company now. Frank Newport owns it now.
Well, what’s 23 or so times in error and being off several decades between friends?
Once Palin rolls out her campaign, there will be little stopping her. Romney, Pawlenty, Barbour, etc., will all the struggling to get 500 people to show up at their rallies, Palin will have absolutely no problem drawing thousands, and even tens of thousands. She will, essentially, consume all the oxygen, leaving the campaigns of the others with empty sails, and drifting rather aimlessly. The dems and their media minions have been attempting to destroy Palin now for 32 months, and yet, she's still standing. None of the others have would have withstood the kind of assaults that her and her family has received.
For those who doubt how Palin will perform in a head to head match up with 0bama, watch the videos of her interview on Long Island, and compare it to anyone of 0bama's stumbling ahhh, errrr, and ummm filled interviews.
lol...no I was wrong. I should have checked the factiod. Picked it up from someone else and never bothered to double check. thanks for asking for clarifiaction if not I would have probably repeated it again. I hate to be wrong.
What an odd bit of reasoning you present. I think the choices and ability of people to consider them is broader. To reduce Palin to a pre-teen girl driven entirely by peer acceptance doesn’t really capture the situation, IMO.
Good point. The “might run” mystique is pretty strong in her right now. There would be consequences to its loss; and what I’m saying is that she’s got to establish her talking head / commentator / author identity with the public before that happens - else she simply becomes a has been / also ran - sort of. Other thoughts: Running outside the box worked / works pretty well for Ron Paul and Ralph Nader. I’m seriously confident that she’s not going to go the way of Ross Perot and split the party. She is a dedicated RINO after all.
Losing the Republican primary would be a serious downer in her career. Losing as Mitt Romney’s running mate, for example, would be even worse.
The thought occurred to me. See post #71 - my response to an earlier post.
Wow, a breath of fresh air. We may disagree about Palin, but your post speaks for your impeccable character. :)
Well, it's just as well she already did a Hong Kong trip a year or two ago, then.
Here’s the deal - she’s basically been running for two years and her numbers have not gone anywhere but down. The core supporters are still there, which includes you, but nothing she has said or done has changed the mind of, in my view, a single voter.
Besides, this election is way to serious to offer up the first female POTUS.
And no, my crystal ball is actually my head which is used to think about these issues - you need to use your own head and not be borrowing ideas and insight from others.
I love when people like you dismiss data that doesn’t support your pet theory. The latest PPP poll shows Gov Palin as the only possible GOp candidate who had their unfavorables go down last month. All others went up.
The new rasmuessen poll shows her close to Mitt in electablity.
As far as her running for the last 2 years? Not really she has been doing other things like helping others get elected (64 candidates elected) raising money for good causes like pro-life groups and women groups. While most of her activities are and can be used to further her quest fot he POTUS she has not been campaign for herself.
I do find it funny you mention her sex in your post which pretty much tells me why you don’t like her.
Bottomline:
Gov Palin retain’s a strong base of support from which to launch a primary campaign. She is in the top three top tier candidates and if Huck doesn’t run she will be within the top two. Mitt is bleeding support to Trump atm and just dropped below 10% support in the lastest CNN poll. GOv Palin’s numbers are steady and within easy striking distance.
As far as this election being too important for a woman candidate? That makes no sense. If this election is so important then we need a real conservative at the top of the ticket not some RINO like Mitt or Trump. Or worse some liberal like huck.
She's somewhat tried that on Fox. Sarah is Sarah, she seems like a one trick pony - repeating that same tired stuff, no compromising, full speed ahead. She's good at what she does now, e.g. preaching to the choir but that will not produce a win in 2012. Besides, now she bores me which is sad since at one time I really liked listening to her.
Actually, I do like her - it’s simply that she’s not electable and offering up a female - the first one is way too risky.
With that said, she’s simply a female Gomer Pyle - really nice, sort of smart but that’s it - not POTUS material.
You seem to have bubbles in your think tank on this one. Besides, if you vote for her in the primary, I’ll vote for someone who can win - in part to cancel out your vote and mostly to win.
Palin is the only Reaganite on the field. Good luck with your vote for the RINO of the day that can win! I guess you would have rather had Bush the first than Reagan in 1980 since people were saying they would vote for Bush because he could win.
I’ll vote for the conservative with a 20 year track record of pushing Reaganism. Who has been right on every issue for the last 2 years.
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