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Reviewed: The Great Global Warming Blunder by Roy W. Spencer
http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=2423 ^ | William M Briggs

Posted on 11/28/2010 6:27:43 AM PST by mattstat

The Great Global Warming Blunder: How Mother Nature Fooled the World’s Top Climate Scientists

by Roy W. Spencer

This book was given to me for review by the publisher.

Clouds

The trick Spencer says Mother Nature played on the world’s top climate scientists was to pull the cotton over their eyes. Cotton, I say, as in clouds. Spencer says other climatologists don’t understand clouds the way he does. Everybody has noticed that, at times, there have been fewer clouds hanging about. Spencer’s special understanding impels him to claim that fewer clouds cause the higher temperatures we have also seen. The other fellows insist that higher temperatures drove the clouds away. Who is right?

Let the battle commence!

We can’t just consider clouds, but must also investigate various other forces that might change the climate. However, there are nothing but minor skirmishes over forcing. All agree that, on average, more CO2, and other similar gases, pumped into the atmosphere means warmer weather. But how much warmer? If climate models are run at twice the pre-industrial levels of CO2, the direct warming effect is predicted to be only about 1 degree C. “And since atmospheric convection typically causes more warming at high altitudes than near the surface, the surface warming can amount to only 0.5 C.” Half a degree? A pittance! So why fret?

Because positive feedback might take that half degree and ramp it up into two, three, even four or more degrees at which point we’d face…well, we’d face something all right. Anybody paying attention to press reports might guess this something will be an environmental apocalypse, but never mind that. It’s feedback where the real fighting occurs. ...

(Excerpt) Read more at wmbriggs.com ...


TOPICS: Science
KEYWORDS: climate; globalwarming; spencer

1 posted on 11/28/2010 6:27:45 AM PST by mattstat
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To: mattstat; Clive; scripter; Darnright; WL-law; bamahead; carolinablonde; SolitaryMan; rdl6989; ...
 


Beam me to Planet Gore !

2 posted on 11/28/2010 6:46:53 AM PST by steelyourfaith (ObamaCare Death Panels: a Final Solution to the looming Social Security crisis ?)
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To: steelyourfaith

So the $billions WASTED on this nonsense were because they ‘got fooled’???

We are fools if we fall for that.

They LIED and falsified data... it’s as simple as that.


3 posted on 11/28/2010 6:52:30 AM PST by Mr. K ('profiling' would be much more offensive than grabbing your balls)
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To: mattstat
In an engineering career lasting close to half a century, I personally modeled a number of dynamic systems. My first models were on vacuum tube analog computers. I can state categorically that positive feedback systems ALWAYS, QUICKLY, jump to their control limits.

Think of a thermostat that is wired backwards. Turning it up causes the temperature to go down. You feel cold, so you turn it up. The temperature goes down. You turn it higher, and the temperature goes even colder. Very quickly, the thermometer is on its highest setting, and the room is as cold as possible.

The earth has been around for at least 4 billion years. CO2 has changed constantly during that time. If the relationship between CO2 and temperature were one of positive feedback, the control limit would have been reached in the first few years and we wouldn't be here for this debate.

4 posted on 11/28/2010 6:59:33 AM PST by norwaypinesavage (Galileo: In science, the authority of a thousand is not worth the humble reasoning of one individual)
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To: Mr. K

Correct. No one was fooled. They were looking for more money. The call it research, what it was, was a scam.


5 posted on 11/28/2010 7:20:26 AM PST by Venturer
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To: mattstat

Fraud. Perps need prosecutin’ by We the People. Failure to do so welcomes more such attempts.


6 posted on 11/28/2010 7:51:43 AM PST by mo
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To: Mr. K

We sure fooled them, didn’t we?


7 posted on 11/28/2010 8:06:59 AM PST by donhunt (I am sick and tired of those bastards insulting me.)
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To: Mr. K

Yup, they lied, boldly and without any compunction about it at all. I am really disgusted with the scientific community over this, they have lost so much credibility I don’t know if I can trust them again, and I am a scientist too. The group think, and political thuggery was just something I thought I would never see among those supposedly dedicated to truth.


8 posted on 11/28/2010 9:16:33 AM PST by HerrBlucher (Defund, repeal, investigate, impeach, convict, jail, celebrate.)
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To: mattstat
There is no cohesive environmental philosophy. Environmentalists are united, not by science, but by their emotional rejection of contemporary society ...

For decades, the climate debate has been obfuscated by cherry-picking, spin-doctoring and scaremongering by the IPCC. But the tide seems to be turning ...


9 posted on 11/28/2010 9:21:31 AM PST by mjp ((pro-{God, reality, reason, egoism, individualism, natural rights, limited government, capitalism}))
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To: mattstat

A more appropriate title would be “The Great Global Warming Swindle.”


10 posted on 11/28/2010 11:14:19 AM PST by ponygirl
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To: norwaypinesavage

Very well stated.

“Positive feedback” is the coward’s way out of this debate.


11 posted on 11/28/2010 11:58:38 AM PST by canuck_conservative
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To: SirKit

Cloud ping!


12 posted on 11/28/2010 2:29:39 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: mattstat; 11B40; A Balrog of Morgoth; A message; ACelt; Aeronaut; AFPhys; AlexW; America_Right; ...
DOOMAGE!

Global Warming PING!

You have been pinged because of your interest in environmentalism, alarmist wackos, mainstream media doomsday hype, and other issues pertaining to global warming.

Freep-mail me to get on or off: Add me / Remove me

Please ping me to all note-worthy threads on global warming.

Global Warming on Free Republic

Latest from Global Warming News Site

Latest from Greenie Watch

Latest from Real Climate

Latest from Climate Depot

13 posted on 11/28/2010 5:19:15 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Muslims are not the problem, the rest of the world is! /s)
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To: HerrBlucher

Why would scientists be immune to money, power, popularity, and fame? Like you, I am disappointed but I understand how it happened.

Climate scientists had rarely felt any love until they were coopted into this farce. It gave them access to a world they had never known and it was profitable to follow the crowd. The only people that lost anything were the skeptics.


14 posted on 11/28/2010 5:40:32 PM PST by volunbeer
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To: volunbeer
True, but by definition then they are not scientist. Since the time of the Greeks at least science has been the search for truth and understanding at the expense of all else. It would seem that many have forgotten this.
15 posted on 11/28/2010 5:58:38 PM PST by SeaWolf (Orwell must have foreseen the 21st Century US Congress when he wrote 1984)
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To: Mr. K

“So the $billions WASTED on this nonsense were because they ‘got fooled’???
We are fools if we fall for that.
They LIED and falsified data... it’s as simple as that.”

While most of know that it has been a scam for power and money, as with Albert Goreon, I also remember when there were some FReepers that were sucked into it. I will not mention any names, but I well remember all the pontification and posting of graphs and charts that indicated that we were doomed if we did not change our lives.
As for myself, I always referred to events of the past
to explain variations in the climate.
Events such as the MWP and the Little Ice Age, obviously
not created by humans.


16 posted on 11/28/2010 7:04:33 PM PST by AlexW
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To: SeaWolf

When the gorebull warming scam first started to really take off the movement was primarily led by politicians, activists, and closet marxists. They coopted a few scientists of questionable ability and a few that should have known better.

However, I don’t think it’s fair to state that the movement was led by scientists. This has been a closet marxists, anti-capitalists, crony capitalists, leftist-progressive, enviro-whacko movement from the beginning. The hypothesis was simply adopted by those who had an agenda and the “facts” were manipulated to push the agenda. I was a youngster when the big worry was the coming ice age but I have read that folks tried to coopt that scare for their own purposes as well.


17 posted on 11/28/2010 7:08:18 PM PST by volunbeer
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