Posted on 10/28/2010 8:53:23 PM PDT by techno
An analysis of TCJ's last poll conducted Oct 23-25 that provides evidence why Fairleigh-Dickinson that showed Coons with a 21 point lead is not accurate.
Again... with this “poll”.. no accompanying analysis.
The Leftist are really setting themselves up for egg in the face, if the lady and the voters can pull this one out.
maybe rove was right to begin with.
We will have to see what the November 2 poll says.
Delaware Senate: Our polling for this race has largely shown a result that’s more favorable to O’Donnell, though recent polling by Tea Party Express has corroborated our 6-point O’Donnell deficit. Polls that give Coons a lead of 18, 19, and 20 points are, much like in the case of the California races, using inaccurate numbers to represent the composition of voters. For example, the Fairleigh Dickinson poll released today showed O’Donnell down 21 points, largely because, as the poll showed, O’Donnell was only shown to be receiving support from only 74% of conservatives. In our poll, O’Donnell was shown to receive support from 89% of voters who identify themselves as conservatives. The discrepancy, it seems, could stem from the date of the Dickinson poll; it was taken over 6 days from October 20 to 26. During that time span, O’Donnell has gained traction by showing that she isn’t quite as crazy as the media would like for you to believe. Additionally, our poll shows less of a gap between Coons and O’Donnell among unaffiliated voters, though Coons does still hold a lead. The likely voter electorate was composed of 32%-Republicans, 43%- Democrats, 24%- Independents.
It will be like the shot heard round the world
.
If O’Donnell gets the GOP united behind her and the Independent vote breaks her way, she can win this.
Or maybe if Rove and the RNC hadn’t trashed her, she’d be higher.
The MSM has gone hog wild trying to destroy her.
Maybe, but doubt it. The average voter doesn’t even know who Rove is, or what he does.
Exactly, she has 2 parties and the MSM against her.
The only one that matters.
Polls aren’t elections. If the turnout factors as heavily as some say it will, it could come down to what the weather is like that day. Good luck to Christine!
Their analysis sites the FDU numbers wrong.
According to FDU, it’s 66% of Conservatives, not 74% of Conservatives. They probably subtracted the 26 from the 100.
Saw Christine on Hannity.
Something special is happening in Delaware.
First time voters in the 40s 50s 60s. They aren’t going to show up in the polls as likely voters.
I can believe that.
Rove’s and the RNC’s approval would have meant $ for advertising, and since the elitist R’s who have been apparently trying to get Coons elected have been on TV, from what I gather, no doubt they have had some influence.
AFAIC, they’re worse than Coons. Much worse.
maybe rove should have kept his thoughts to himself.
and if they defeated R candidate and his sponsors had gotten on board it wouldn’t have been such a big uphill fight.
Being in castles camp shit cans that idea.RINO ROVE is just pissed that his magic didnt work this time around and he will lose some serious influence as a campaign guru in the future.She poped his balloon and he wont get over it.He has also said Palin aint up to the job as president.I think hes full of bovine scat.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.