The Good,
The Bad,
and The Puzzling
Posted on 07/03/2010 7:11:52 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
In Maryland Republicans are beginning to get excited about the chances of a return of former Governor Bob Ehrlich to the statehouse.
Last February the current governor Democrat Martin O’Malley held a 51/41 lead among Likely Voters. Given the nature of Maryland a ten point lead with nine months to go should have been enough to call the race now.
Nevertheless, the Democrat “brand name” is deteriorating so quickly that a June survey, also of Likely Voters, showed O’Malley’s lead had evaporated to an insignificant 44/43 even though Ehrlich has advanced just two points. The answer is Marylanders’ right track/wrong track views: 41/52.
O’Malley remains personally popular as his healthy 58/34 numbers show, but so far this hasn’t help him gain traction.
California
In California there has been a steady level of excitement about the possibility of Meg Whitman becoming the next governor and Carly Fiorina becoming the next Senator from the Golden State. So far the numbers don’t support that optimism.
While a stunning 78% of Californians believe their state is on the wrong track it does not seem that Democrat former Governor Jerry Brown is being seen as culpable for the mess he has helped create during his decades in California’s State and local government. He leads Republican Meg Whitman 45/39.
In the Senate race news of Barbara Boxer’s demise is very premature. She is ahead of Republican Carly Fiorina 45/41.
Both Brown and Boxer will be helped by a ballot initiative to legalize and tax marijuana which will draw out Democrats in an otherwise very depressing year for them.
Ohio
In Ohio the chances of recapturing the statehouse aren’t good. Democrat incumbent Ted Strickland is no ball of fire, but Republican John Kasich has been flat on his back and stuck at 38% for months.
Massachusetts..
(Excerpt) Read more at collinsreport.net ...
California is a lost cause, but the polling I have seen in Ohio has been good Kasich was up 5 in the last Rasmussen poll I saw, up 2 in another, and Strickland was up in a couple others. No sure thing, but he seems to be doing fine. With the mood of the country, and assuming no major economic upturn in the 3rd quarter, the GOP candidates are going to have a pretty strong message when the election heats up. As I said, I have no expectations of success in the lost state - California, but things are looking good pretty much everywhere else. One thing is that the opposition will not go down without fighting.
There is no GOP in California. It’s Democrats only. Some are just called Republicans.
All polling done by WAPO, Reuters Boston Globe and Quinnipiac.
Are you fuc*in kidding me?
Yes, the same geniuses who pretended that VA was not going to be won by the GOP in the last election.
If we had miracle on Ice we can have miracle in California. Marijuana referendum is bad news, it probably adds extra 1-2% to dem candidates, though.
Still, Arnold got elected, people are fed up with the Gov and taxes. I would not give up California yet. Besides, if we start surrendering big states even in this kind of year, we are doomed.
Darryl Issa is from California.
He is my congressman, I am proud to say. What I meant to say, is that there is no California GOP; there is no principled, philosphical resistance to Democrat ideas. For all their "conservative" bluster, Whitman and Fiorina will serve the Democrat objectives if they should be elected, which I doubt.
See Arnold for further illustration.
Thats because they are part of the old REpublican hierarchy. The anti-Kasich ad put out by Strickland seems pretty effective and ties Kasich directly to Goldman Sachs. Portman has always been one of the low key behind the scenes type of Republicans. Almost like old money like ex Gov Taft.
this articel is crap.
the poll being quoted are far left media outlets like the wash compost and a dnc front group which is not a polling firm but a push poll group called quinipec ?
What is the point of this slanted crap ?
This idiot is peddling phony polls as proof of what ?
By that measure there is no national GOP either.
Puzzling to Republicans, perhaps. Puzzling to the rest of us, well, not so much. Let me give you an example from the recent “immigration” debate between the progressive Democrats and the corporatist Republicans.
The democrats are advocating open borders and amnesty. The republicans are paying lip service to closing the borders and a guest worker program.
Nobody is advocating the actual interest of the American citizen: “tight border security which shuts down illegal immigration and reducing immigration in the face of 10% (official) and likely higher unemployment rates.”
The Republicans are sitting around waiting for people to get tired enough of Democrats that they vote them into office so that they can implement the same policies that led to Democrats winning the elections in 2008 to begin with.
I see a Strickland reelection as more likely than a Dem pickup in the Senate. With incumbent advantage, he could hold on. The Senate will be determined on national issues, and that is in our favor, at least at this point.
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