[counterpunch]

A 100% accurate predictor for whether or not a president will be reelected is whether or not they face a strong primary challenge during their quest for a second term.

Bush Sr : Pat Buchanan
Jimmy Carter : Ted Kennedy
Gerald Ford : Ronald Reagan

Both Johnson and Truman chose not to even seek reelection because they were going to lose the Democrat nomination.
The Democrat nominees who replaced them went on to lose both of those elections.

So in a word: Go Hillary!

[chippewaman]

“A 100% accurate predictor for whether or not a president will be reelected is whether or not they face a strong primary challenge during their quest for a second term.

Bush Sr : Pat Buchanan
Jimmy Carter : Ted Kennedy
Gerald Ford : Ronald Reagan

Both Johnson and Truman chose not to even seek reelection because they were going to lose the Democrat nomination.
The Democrat nominees who replaced them went on to lose both of those elections.

So in a word: Go Hillary!”

You are quite correct. Go Hillary!!!! Hillary will be the 2012 version of Ted Kennedy in ‘80. Obama will be weak just like Carter was in his re-election bid. Operation Chaos Part II, let’s do it!

[delacoert]

Both Johnson and Truman chose not to even seek reelection because they were going to lose the Democrat nomination.

In the main your post is correct and I agree with it. Your statement about the reason for Truman's choice not to seek reelection, however is incorrect.