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28 House Seats move toward GOP
Rothenberg Political Report ^ | Jan. 25, 2010 | Stuart Rothenberg

Posted on 01/25/2010 10:32:55 AM PST by Free ThinkerNY

After a stunning GOP Senate win in Massachusetts and a slew of new polls showing many Democratic incumbents in trouble, it’s hard to argue with the obvious: the Republicans unquestionably have momentum as 2010 begins.

We are adding a dozen new seats to our list of districts “in play” – all of them currently held by Democrats. In addition, we have moved 16 districts within our list – two held by the GOP and the rest currently represented by a Democrat. All of the moves benefit the GOP, either because Republican districts now look safer or Democratic districts appear more vulnerable.

Given that we expect more Democratic retirements in the next few months and anticipate that more Democratic-held districts will increase in vulnerability between now and the fall, we are raising our target for GOP gains to 24 to 28 seats, with higher Republican gains possible. Of course, changes in the national mood between now and November could also benefit Democrats.

In addition, we can no longer dismiss the possibility of a Republican wave so large that Democrats could lose their House majority. We stress, however, that we currently expect Republicans to fall short of the 40 seats they would need. Scott Brown’s victory in Massachusetts doesn’t mean that every Republican candidate will win in November.

(Excerpt) Read more at rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2010midterms; gopcomeback; goppickups; rothenberg
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To: Free ThinkerNY

they don’t HAVE to be Republican....they can be Democrat or Independent....as long as they’re AMERICAN!!!


21 posted on 01/25/2010 11:40:05 AM PST by mo
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To: South Dakota
sorry to see South Dakota’s Princess Stephanie Herseth- Handlin be defeated.

Wow, she's almost not guilty.

22 posted on 01/25/2010 11:40:24 AM PST by Nonstatist
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To: GonzoGOP

OH and VA come to mind...


23 posted on 01/25/2010 11:42:16 AM PST by RockinRight (The sleeping giant has been awoken, and he's PISSED.)
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To: Nonstatist

In my single days, I’d have hit that...


24 posted on 01/25/2010 11:43:04 AM PST by RockinRight (The sleeping giant has been awoken, and he's PISSED.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY
Do we really want to win back the House and Senate? If we do, then of course we can gridlock DC and stop all of Obama’s insane legislation. However, if things go bad, everyone will blame the GOP because they “control Congress.”

I'd rather come just short of controlling both Houses. That way we can still gridlock Obama from 2010 to 2012, but not be blamed for his incompetence. That way when 2012 rolls around we take square aim at Obama and the Democrat-controlled Congress for their total failure.

25 posted on 01/25/2010 11:44:21 AM PST by Falcon28 (I)
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To: South Dakota
Get rid of her. She is a liberal. A vote for her is a vote for Obama.
26 posted on 01/25/2010 11:45:17 AM PST by Big Horn (Rebuild the GOP to a conservative party)
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To: RockinRight

Nikki must go, she is a clown in a pants suit. The problem is we need a strong candidate not Meas or the guy from Carlisle, I wish Jim Oginowski would try again. The North shore district in play, so is Mcgovern(metro west) and Delahunt(south shore).

Hell Barry Frank’s district might be in play look at the voting results front the senatorial election in his district.


27 posted on 01/25/2010 12:06:51 PM PST by biggiant1 (MA Republican - the looniest man in Massachusetts - a conservative)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

40 seat gain will be childs play if Fauxbama, Pelosi, Reid (axis of evil) continue this damn the voter and the torpedos we are doing healthscare.

I don’t see Dems holding the house if they keep this up, but even if they hold the house, Pelosi will not be re-elected speaker.


28 posted on 01/25/2010 12:10:20 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: crz

No problem here, in my area of Texas it is easy to find Conservatives.


29 posted on 01/25/2010 12:15:28 PM PST by King_Corey (www.kingcorey.com)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

28? Nah, I leaning close to retaking the House. The only reason I won’t say they will is Republicans have a history of screwing a sure thing.


30 posted on 01/25/2010 12:15:47 PM PST by Soul Seeker (?)
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To: GonzoGOP

Or the new leader will be someone like Chuck who will be even more blatantly partisan but not be in a so called swing state as Reid comes from. Daschle came from a conservative state so once it was nationalized he was bound to lose.


31 posted on 01/25/2010 12:20:07 PM PST by Soul Seeker (?)
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To: King_Corey

Yer Lucky.


32 posted on 01/25/2010 1:37:46 PM PST by crz
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To: crz

Yes, but we moved from Minnesota to have that happen. LOL, Sorry MN Freepers, but Liberal Lakes is not the place unless you like to argue constantly with the brainwashed. Down in Texas we still have the Nutjob Libs, but less, and more often they are in Central portions of the Cities, the rest of us are not. Texas is happy to have hard working conservatives move here, the Libs can all stay in Detroit, DC, and other garden spots of the Left.


33 posted on 01/26/2010 5:30:33 AM PST by King_Corey (www.kingcorey.com)
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