Escalation Coming to North Korea Soon

http://www.informationdissemination.net/ ^

[jhpigott]

lots of naval strike assets in the region

[jhpigott]

ping

[Perdogg]

ping

[The Sons of Liberty]

I wonder how many Trident subs are cruising in the Sea of Japan?

[maquiladora]

Another good anaysis. Last time I checked, the NK ship was still due to dock in Singapore en route to Myanmar. If that still happens then Singapore would agree to an inspection of the ship. Would be interesting to see just how angry Kim will get then.

[Non-Sequitur]

I wonder how many Trident subs are cruising in the Sea of Japan?

None. With the range of Trident they could probably hit North Korea from the pier in Washington. They'll be in the North Pacific somewhere, far from the cramped operating area of the Sea of Japan.

[Cheburashka]

I wonder how many Trident subs are cruising in the Sea of Japan?

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Probably a maximum of one. More likely zero. With a Trident II range of 7000 miles they don't have to be in the Sea of Japan at all to hit North Korea, should that be desired. Parking them in a confined sea just increases the possibility that it can be discovered.

[Cheburashka]

Great minds think alike. Yours is a little faster.

[Artemis Webb]

"Last time I checked, the NK ship was still due to dock in Singapore en route to Myanmar."

Does anybody have a time frame for all of this? It seems like the Kang Nam has been headed to Myanmar (which I call Burma as nobody knows where Myanmar is let alone is able to pronounce correctly) forever.

[silverleaf]

The crew of that miserable vessel needs to be offered political asylum, en masse. The cargo needs to be seized and inspected. The ship will return to Lil Kim when the two American journalists in KN prison walk into US custody.

[Diana in Wisconsin]

"...lots of naval strike assets in the region...

I always appreciate a good 'fireworks display' on the 4th of July. ;)

[HereInTheHeartland]

“Obama said that, in recent years, North Korea's provocations have been “rewarded” as Western countries offered fuel, food and loans in exchange for promises of good behavior that are eventually broken. “

“We are going to break that pattern,” Obama said after a White House meeting”

Obama actually said these things? I hadn't read this before.
That is interesting....

[maquiladora]

Myanmar/Burma is close to India. Not a short trip as the ship has been hugging the Chinese coast on its way. Would need to navigate the Straits of Singapore and its expected to stop in Singapore to refuel.

[calex59]

I think China is telling Korea just the exact opposite of what you imagine, JMO.

[Eric in the Ozarks]

NK has enough to destroy Seoul, SK, and that will take less than 1 day.

[maquiladora]

North Korea warns of military drill off coast - Japan

TOKYO (Reuters) - North Korea has warned it will conduct a military firing exercise off its eastern city of Wonsan, Japan’s Coast Guard said on Monday, in a possible indication of a missile test.

North Korea, in an e-mail, said the exercise would take place between June 25 and July 10 within a 110-km (68 mile) range from Wonsan, Japan Coast Guard spokesman Shinya Suzuki said.

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Looks like we may have an exact window for when they are planning to launch some missiles now...

[Non-Sequitur]

Not that it’s going to happen. Nuke North Korea and the radioactive fallout is either going to hit Japan, South Korea, or China depending on the prevailing winds. I think that they’d all take a dim view of that.

[jhpigott]

speculation was btwn 7/4-7/8 so that appears pretty much right on

[The Sons of Liberty]

For old times sake, I’d rather see them use a Minuteman to hit NK, but that would probably involve overflight of Russia or China.

[SampleMan]

The key statistic though is that the US has 33 submarines at sea, 61%, with 26 submarines on deployment, 48%. That is a very unusually high number of submarines on deployment and very important in the North Korean scenario, because North Korea does not have sophisticated sonar equipment to detect, much less to track US submarines, and can only fight submarines with minefields. I don't see a scenario where things escalate that far, but I do see the US Navy prepared for that scenario if North Korea miscalculates or overreacts.

I gotta throw the flag on this statement. NK has very few naval craft that would even register as targets for an SSN. They have PT and PTG boats, which they will likely use in a mass attack and they have extremely small submarines for their special forces, which if they don't sink of their own accord will be nearly impossible for an SSN to locate.

The NK Navy is pretty much a non-issue, as is their Air Force. The issue is the vast number of artillery tubes and troops they have along the DMZ.

One of the reasons we pulled our troops back from the DMZ was to take away the NK option of easily striking just U.S. forces. However, they could still attempt such an attack.

What would the SK or Japanese response be to a limited NK attack against U.S. forces on their soil? Likely not war.