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Trade Wars Are Stupid and Destructive
Lone Star Times ^

Posted on 03/17/2009 10:53:35 AM PDT by mnehring

The International Brotherhood of Teamsters hailed the end of the road for the trucking program, and issued a sharp rebuke of Mexico’s retaliatory action Monday. “The right response from Mexico would be to make sure its drivers and trucks are safe enough to use our highways without endangering our drivers,” Teamsters President James Hoffa said.

and a Democratic senator also said:

A long-time critic of the program, Sen. Byron Dorgan (D., N.D.) said he would work with the Obama administration to address the safety concerns. “I have said all along that I have no problem with Mexican long-haul trucks being allowed into the United States if it can be done safely,” he said.

Faithfully adhering to the script written two decades ago, Democrats, Teamsters and anti-free traders all continue to display their allegiance to a tired and decrepit ideology conservatives and libertarians have fought for generations to bury.  The spectacular success of global trade over the last twenty plus years has raised the standard of living for people around the world and brought a level of wealth to America earlier generations would find astonishing.

Yesterday, the outstanding economist, Russell Roberts, of George Mason University, linked again to the investigative analysis he wrote in this month eight years ago.  He notes regretfully, it is still relevant today:

What’s really going on?
There’s someone missing from this picture. We have the Mexican truckers. We have the U.S. truckers who have to compete with the lower-wage Mexicans. And we have the Americans who are concerned about safety. We have the seen. But some of the participants are unseen.

Let’s look at the economics. Under the 1995 order issued by President Clinton, Mexican trucks were allowed to cross the border but had to stay within designated commercial zones. These zones were within 20 miles north of the border. After that, the Mexican trucks had to transfer their goods to American trucking firms. (You might wonder how you enforce a law like that, but more on that later. For now, let’s assume that the Mexicans complied with the law.) So up until now, Mexican goods had to make their way across America on American trucks. Now, Mexican trucks can continue to St. Louis and San Francisco and Houston with their Mexican-produced goods. What are the effects of this change?

Roberts covers the safety charges made by many:

Just enter “Mexican truck safety” into your favorite search engine and you’ll find plenty of info. You can find anti-NAFTA sites that tell you how dangerous Mexican trucks are. You can find pro-NAFTA sites that tell you how it’s a non-issue. (There are a lot more of the former than the latter. Why is that? Do the antis have a better case than the pros? Or do the antis have a large vested interest in spreading the word while the pros have a smaller stake?) Most of it’s pretty self-interested. So take it with a grain of salt, just as you should take any dose of policy analysis.

and this:

Of the Mexican trucks stopped north of the border but within the four border states, 32% of the trucks were found to have serious safety violations and were taken out of service. But outside the border states, the rate fell to a mere 19%. This is lower than the U.S. failure rate of 25% found among trucks stopped within the U.S. for road-side inspections.

I highly recommend reading Robert’s analysis of various data regarding the safety of Mexican trucks, the possible economic effects and his revealing what Frederic Bastiat called the seen and the unseen in economics.

After formal negotiations begun in 1990, a majority vote of Republicans in Congress saw passage of the North American Free Trade Agreement in 1993, creating the second largest free trade bloc in the world measured by combined GDP.  The treaty was born under a Republican regime and eventually ratified and signed into law by a Democratic president.   The hard economic realities are irrefutable concerning the benefits of NAFTA to the three member nations. 

The Obama administration has angered the Mexican government by violating a provision of a treaty we agreed to and ratified nearly sixteen years ago.  There are many issues on which the Mexican government can be justifiably criticized, but not this one.  America has spent all these years breaking one promise after another in violating compliance with one of the most important treaties ever signed by this nation.

Trade wars have very often resembled barroom brawls beginning with one man punching another who then hits a bystander who then slugs an onlooker without warning.  They have a way of spiraling quickly out of control and culminate in everyone in the room suffering terribly.  It is time now for America to live up to her obligations, cease coddling industries and unions while stoking protectionist fears around the world by displaying our fecklessness.  The current precarious state of global markets does not need the lack of confidence and fear of retaliation generated by the USA arbitrarily breaking its word.  This country, our neighbors and allies across the globe need now, more than ever, strong and steady leadership and that begins first with keeping our word.

As a final reminder of the repercussions government stupidity can have on the lives of citizens, I quote this historical column by financial writer Brian Trumbore:

The business reality of Smoot-Hawley was far worse. 1,028 economists had earlier petitioned President Hoover to veto the bill, but with enactment, tariffs hit all-time levels on some 70 agricultural products and 900 manufactured items. The economists had warned that S-H would raise prices to consumers, damage export trade, hurt farmers, promote inefficiency and promote foreign reprisals. As to the issue of increased prices, you saw in a piece I did two weeks ago that consumer prices actually collapsed in the years 1930-32, a point that we will come back to.

As for foreign reprisals, nations were outraged. Historian Richard Hofstadter called the tariff act, “a virtual declaration of economic war on the rest of the world.” Within two years, 25 countries had retaliated and U.S. foreign trade took a huge hit. America had exported $5.24 billion in goods in 1929 and by 1932, the total was just $1.6 billion.



TOPICS: Government
KEYWORDS: aliens; trade
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1 posted on 03/17/2009 10:53:35 AM PDT by mnehring
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To: mnehring

Yawn, more revisionist history...since exports were about 6%...nonsense...what is really awful is the damage done to this country in the last 30 years or so by free traitors who sold out their country for cheap Chinese crap...we need industry not unfair anything but free trade...Carl Marx was a supporter of free trade as a means to kill jobs standing in the way of Marxism...guess time has proved him right.


2 posted on 03/17/2009 12:41:21 PM PDT by nyconse (When you buy something, make an investment in your country. Buy American or bye bye America)
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To: nyconse
Carl Marx was a supporter of free trade as a means to kill jobs standing in the way of Marxism..

That's why we have fewer jobs now than we did before NAFTA, too much free trade.

guess time has proved him right.

LOL! Where else do you find yourself agreeing with good old Karl?

3 posted on 03/17/2009 3:24:46 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Havoc has been back since September. Or was it April?)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Good to see you still worship the concept of Free Trade above all else. In a world of uncertainty you provide a definitive focal point.


4 posted on 03/17/2009 4:18:31 PM PDT by NewRomeTacitus
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To: NewRomeTacitus
Good to see you still worship the concept of Free Trade above all else.

You're wrong, as usual.

5 posted on 03/17/2009 4:28:15 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Havoc has been back since September. Or was it April?)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Bless you too, Todd. As I said you are an immovable pivot in the universe. Lord knows why I’m for profit more than you are.

Oh, that’s it - free trade on it’s own merits without government interference. Your Free Trade is not free when our government has to accede citizen’s rights and tax dollars for profiteering. I guess we’ll catch up in Davy Jone’s Locker. Can you not make an honest buck from fair trade? Arrr - have a happy pirate day.


6 posted on 03/17/2009 5:05:26 PM PDT by NewRomeTacitus
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To: NewRomeTacitus
free trade on it’s own merits without government interference.

Sounds good to me. So how's Obama working out for you so far? Getting all you wanted?

7 posted on 03/17/2009 5:09:18 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Havoc has been back since September. Or was it April?)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

No. I thought you voted for that carnival barker without substance. Give my best to the wife and kids.


8 posted on 03/17/2009 5:21:16 PM PDT by NewRomeTacitus
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To: NewRomeTacitus
I thought you voted for that carnival barker without substance.

But you're the one who thinks government knows best. He's right up your alley!

9 posted on 03/17/2009 5:24:50 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Havoc has been back since September. Or was it April?)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Flame stops here. Right after I acknowledge you’re the authority on what goes up an alley. Toddster...geez.


10 posted on 03/17/2009 5:55:14 PM PDT by NewRomeTacitus
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To: NewRomeTacitus
What goes up your alley is strictly between you and Obama.
11 posted on 03/17/2009 6:07:38 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Havoc has been back since September. Or was it April?)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

You are not on Obama’s side, right? So you will oppose his amnesty bill when he tries to push it?


12 posted on 03/17/2009 6:12:05 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (I want to "Buy American" but the only things for sale made in the USA are politicians)
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To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas
You are not on Obama’s side, right?

Correct.

So you will oppose his amnesty bill when he tries to push it?

I opposed the Bush amnesty and the McCain amnesty and will oppose the Obama amnesty as well.

13 posted on 03/17/2009 6:16:42 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Havoc has been back since September. Or was it April?)
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To: mnehring
Of the Mexican trucks stopped north of the border but within the four border states, 32% of the trucks were found to have serious safety violations and were taken out of service. But outside the border states, the rate fell to a mere 19%. This is lower than the U.S. failure rate of 25% found among trucks stopped within the U.S. for road-side inspections.

As long as we have very rigorous inspections now and in the future, and are diligent about requiring insurance, I am not so concerned with the trucks themselves (although within Mexico both the condition of trucks and traffic safety in general are far below those of the USA, even if you count illegal drivers in the USA).

I am concerned that we do not have any way of knowing who the drivers are, nor what their driving records within Mexico are.

14 posted on 03/17/2009 6:27:39 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (I want to "Buy American" but the only things for sale made in the USA are politicians)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Good, I am on your side on that issue. I have some concerns about Mexican truck drivers, as I posted above.


15 posted on 03/17/2009 6:30:11 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (I want to "Buy American" but the only things for sale made in the USA are politicians)
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To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas

Forget a few dozen truck drivers, where’s my wall?


16 posted on 03/17/2009 6:36:58 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Havoc has been back since September. Or was it April?)
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To: nyconse; 1_Inch_Group; 2sheep; 2Trievers; 3AngelaD; 3pools; 3rdcanyon; 4Freedom; 4ourprogeny; ...

Ping!


17 posted on 03/17/2009 9:35:58 PM PDT by HiJinx (~ Support Our Troops ~ www.AmericaSupportsYou.mil ~)
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To: HiJinx

Thanks!


18 posted on 03/17/2009 10:14:01 PM PDT by nyconse (When you buy something, make an investment in your country. Buy American or bye bye America)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

I agree that free trade will cause socialism...I don’t agree that this is a good thing. Free traitors have much to answer for.


19 posted on 03/17/2009 10:18:16 PM PDT by nyconse (When you buy something, make an investment in your country. Buy American or bye bye America)
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To: nyconse
I agree that free trade will cause socialism...

Obviously less government interference will result in socialism. The only way to prevent socialism is to greatly expand the power of government.

Free traitors have much to answer for.

Just how hard did you hit your head?

20 posted on 03/18/2009 5:05:13 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Havoc has been back since September. Or was it April?)
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