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Third Leg Falling In Crash Of 2009 / Derivatives
Allen L. Roland's Radio Blog on Salon.com via Four Winds 10 Blog ^ | March 3, 2009 | Allen L. Roland

Posted on 03/04/2009 8:45:37 PM PST by GoreNoMore

The third and most devastating leg of the great American meltdown of 2009 is the derivatives leg which reveals trillions of dollars of unsecured debt and credit default swaps which cannot be covered and has ushered in the PANIC phase of our economic collapse: Allen L Roland

The first leg in the great bear market of 2008/09 was the sub prime mortgage debacle which led to the current credit card crisis leg, which is still adding tremendous pressure to mainstream banks, but the final leg is the derivative leg which represents trillions of dollars of unregulated credit default swaps and unsecured debt which can not possibly be covered. It is truly the 900 pound gorilla in the room that no one wants to acknowledge but everyone, including Washington, is petrified of. See The unspoken cause of the Stock Market collapse is derivative trading ! http://blogs.salon.com/0002255/2008/10/13.html

(Excerpt) Read more at fourwinds10.com ...


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edited to add this ******

AIG's reported loss of 62 billion dollars yesterday, the biggest quarterly loss in Corporate history, after an infusion of a $60 billion dollar bailout loan, a $40 billion purchase of preferred shares, $40 billion to soak up its toxic assets and another $30 billion on top of that ~ is all related to derivative contracts. AIG has used derivative contracts to guarantee complex debt securities on the books of many shaky financial institutions. If AIG defaults on its debt ~ which is now a staggering $180 billion ( equivalent to nearly half the U.S. government’s entire budget deficit for all of 2008 ) the whole financial system would crumble so the Fed agrees to another $30 Billion bailout and delays the inevitable shake out.

1 posted on 03/04/2009 8:45:37 PM PST by GoreNoMore
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To: GoreNoMore

Hahaha


2 posted on 03/04/2009 8:50:00 PM PST by TheZMan (Secede.)
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To: GoreNoMore

Can you explain who won 62 billion dollars yesterday if AIG lost it?


3 posted on 03/04/2009 8:50:58 PM PST by Just mythoughts
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To: GoreNoMore

Washington is not afraid of this. Obama can’t wait for an entire economic collapse so he can remake America in his Marxist image.


4 posted on 03/04/2009 9:04:19 PM PST by beagleone
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To: GoreNoMore
"The third and most devastating leg of the great American meltdown of 2009 is the derivatives leg which reveals trillions of dollars of unsecured debt and credit default swaps which cannot be covered and has ushered in the PANIC phase of our economic collapse: Allen L Roland

Beginning Now: The Panic Phase Of The Economic Collapse

5 posted on 03/04/2009 9:04:41 PM PST by blam
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To: Just mythoughts

Hmmm. It may explain the convoy of Brinks trucks in my driveway.


6 posted on 03/04/2009 9:05:03 PM PST by beagleone
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To: Just mythoughts
Can you explain who won 62 billion dollars yesterday if AIG lost it?

If you thought your house was worth $500,000 in 2007, but you sold it for $350,000 in 2008, no one ran off with the $150,000, it just disappeared. Same thing with AIG; Poof its gone.

7 posted on 03/04/2009 9:05:37 PM PST by RDasher ("El Nino is climate, La Nina is weather")
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To: GoreNoMore

Derivatives are economically neutral. They are zero sum. They can neither boost nor crash an economy.

They simply move money between winners and losers. Same money. No net gain to the wider economy. No net loss.


8 posted on 03/04/2009 9:05:48 PM PST by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: GoreNoMore
Only the gullible media hounds mid-town Manhattan can accept the posting provided. Let them fail. Someone on the other end of this contract made the money AIG lost. This fear mongering is just a ploy to get more federal dollars into AIG’s account. AIG is a bad business and needs to be allowed to fail. If they don't know how to price insurance, why is the tax payer making up for it? Nah na Nah na, Nah na Nah na, AIGeeee Gooood bye. Stock price says it all. Done. Toast. Stop prop’n’m up.
9 posted on 03/04/2009 9:06:35 PM PST by sefarkas (Why vote Democrat Lite?)
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To: GoreNoMore

Nobody touches my third leg, unless I pay $10.


10 posted on 03/04/2009 9:07:09 PM PST by MaxMax (RINO=RAT!)
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To: RDasher
If you thought your house was worth $500,000 ...

That's just it -- you thought. It was never worth that much, and if a banker/appraiser said so with a mortgage or second, they were committing fraud. A commodity is only priced when it is bought/sold. You can think about what your house is worth all you want. It does not make it so until you actually sell it for that price to someone. AIG can't price insurance. Let'm fail.
11 posted on 03/04/2009 9:10:02 PM PST by sefarkas (Why vote Democrat Lite?)
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To: GoreNoMore

I suspect the the credit card phase of all this is just getting started, and mortages are entering their 2nd phase.

Defaults are spreading as jobs disappear in the Obamcomony.


12 posted on 03/04/2009 9:12:10 PM PST by Wiseghy ("You want to break this army? Then break your word to it.")
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To: RDasher
"If you thought your house was worth $500,000 in 2007, but you sold it for $350,000 in 2008, no one ran off with the $150,000, it just disappeared. Same thing with AIG; Poof its gone."

True for the homes, but not true for AIG. AIG gets annual income for insuring loans. If a loan defaults, then AIG moves money from AIG to a lender (or to a speculator).

If more loans default than AIG recieves income in annual premiums during a given year, then AIG loses money.

That money goes to the person/entity who was paying annual premiums to AIG.

But that money doesn't just "disappear." Someone else gets it.

13 posted on 03/04/2009 9:12:32 PM PST by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: beagleone
Hmmm. It may explain the convoy of Brinks trucks in my driveway.

lol They won't be the only convoy pulling into your driveway.... the tax man will be there before dawn.

14 posted on 03/04/2009 9:15:15 PM PST by Just mythoughts
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To: GoreNoMore

Revealed: the geniuses heading up the world’s largest financial companies were a bunch of irresponsible, greedy scum who didn’t care that they were very possibly going to wreck the world economic system, so long as they got their bonuses.

I say, put them in pillories in full public display where those who lost their savings are free to beat them and humiliate them as they see fit.


15 posted on 03/04/2009 9:15:26 PM PST by guns_for_liberty
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To: beagleone; All

Some Russians are not afraid of this either. Check out this link by a Russian academic who predicts the US will break up into 6 parts by 2011, and Russia and China will be the new power currency.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,504384,00.html


16 posted on 03/04/2009 9:15:36 PM PST by gleeaikin
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To: sefarkas; All

My city has just lowered the tax rate for 2010 on two houses I own by about 8%. On the other hand my poor significant other has lost 1/2 the value of his market holdings. Still, on average, I don’t think we are any worse off relative to the rest of the population.


17 posted on 03/04/2009 9:18:13 PM PST by gleeaikin
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To: RDasher
If you thought your house was worth $500,000 in 2007, but you sold it for $350,000 in 2008, no one ran off with the $150,000, it just disappeared. Same thing with AIG; Poof its gone.

You are describing an imaginary value and unless I have something staked upon my house having said $500,000 value how can I loose $150,000 with a literal sale of $350,000 a year later? What is to bail out if it is of imagined value? Or has AIG spent or promised that supposed imagined value?

18 posted on 03/04/2009 9:21:16 PM PST by Just mythoughts
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To: gleeaikin

Can I live in the Sarah Palin part?


19 posted on 03/04/2009 9:25:03 PM PST by beagleone
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To: beagleone; All

No you can’t, because the article says that Russia will reclaim Alaska. Or I guess I should say you wouldn’t want to, and boy will they have some fun trying to run that gal.


20 posted on 03/04/2009 9:35:51 PM PST by gleeaikin
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