[Terpfen]

There’s a dual presumption here: that the black vote will expand this year, and that it will uniformly go for Obama. The latter MAY be true depending on a few factors, but I very highly doubt the former.

[grey_whiskers]

What is happening is that Obama is expending all of his ammo--black and liberal voters-- in early voting to give the impression of a landslide.

As the vast majority of Pubbies and Reagan Democrats vote (uniformly AGAINST "that one"), a McCain-Palin victory will "miraculously" appear and be blamed on race hatred.

When in truth, the voting will be due to this:

"I voted for the Hottie
Not for the Haughty"

Cheers!

[ClearCase_guy]

Obama's under-the-radar black voter registration drives and get-out-the-vote efforts

In other words, massive fraud.

Can anyone help me out here? Maybe MA is odd (well, you know what I mean) but as far as I know, here in MA there are some people (not many) who use absentee ballots, but the vast majority of people show up to vote on the first Tueday of November, they wait in line for maybe 15 minutes, they vote and then go about their business.

This year, I have seen so many stories about "early voting" in other states. It seems like voting has been going on for weeks, and people have been standing in line -- literally -- for hours, so that they can vote.

I truly don't understand why this is happening, unless some kind of shenanigans is being done.

[jilliane]

Change....will Michelle change the name and color of the White House?

[tcostell]

In their day to day world, the vast majority of Americans are polite and non-confrontational. The differences between a Barak Obama and John McCain are so pronounced that I have a very hard time believing that people are actually 'undecided'.

Personally, so long as:

McCain + Undecided > Obama

I'm convinced McCain will win the election. Those people aren't really undecided, they're just being polite and tp prevent their cars from getting keyed.

[counterpunch]

This theory is riddled with problems:

1) The ‘Bradley Effect’ has nothing to do with whites who won’t vote for a black candidate. It is about whites who are too afraid to admit they are not voting for the black guy because of Political Correctness.

2) This assumes that the ‘racist white vote’ won’t be out as strong as the ‘racist black vote’. I believe anyone who wouldn’t vote for a candidate because he is black is likely to go out of his way to vote against that candidate to the same extent that someone who would vote for a candidate because he is black would go out of his way to do so.

3) This assumes that blacks are evenly distributed in the country. Again, this is not the case, many states where 0bama needs a high black turnout to win have low black populations, and the states where blacks are most heavily concentrated also happen to be the deepest ‘red states.’

Blacks make up less than 13% of the total US population, but upwards of 30% in some southern states. But these states have voted close to 70% for Republicans in recent elections, and 0bama has no realistic chance of winning any of them.

[The Sons of Liberty]

All this talk about “The Bradley Effect” is just another method to intimidate you into voting for 0bama. As far as I’m concerned, I’m more worried about “The Stalin Effect” if he gets into office!

[counterpunch]

A slight clarification on point #3.
States with the highest black concentrations tend to be either deep red or deep blue. Once characteristic of swing states is they tend to have low black populations.

0bama’s get-out-the-black-vote will be largely wasted on states he either cannot win or will not lose. The black vote has very limited power in the states where he needs to get-out-the-vote the most.