Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

2008 Presidential Electoral Vote Projection - 5/13/08
Electoral Projection ^ | May 13, 2008 | BrianinMO

Posted on 05/13/2008 12:45:33 PM PDT by blogsforthompson.com

Here is the 2008 Electoral Vote Projection Map and State Poll Average Chart for Tuesday, May 13, 2008. . . .Check out a new feature added here at Electoral Projection. The National Poll Average Chart (above) will now break down the polls from the last 50-days by polls that use: Likely Voters; Registered Voters; Random Sample of Adults. You can always find the chart at the bottom of the page. I have noticed that polls using "Registered Voters" or "Adults" rather than "Likely Voters" seem to always have Obama doing better. The chart bears that out. McCain actually leads in the average of Polls using "Likely Voters", but Obama leads in polls using "Registered Voters" or just "Adults" who may or may not be voters. Key an eye on those numbers as the campaign wears on. What do you think about this discrepancy?

(Excerpt) Read more at electoralprojection.blogspot.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: electoralvotemap; presidentialpolls

1 posted on 05/13/2008 12:45:34 PM PDT by blogsforthompson.com
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: blogsforthompson.com

The state-by-state shows Obama getting more than 50% in very few places and most not higher than 52%. That’s not good for Obama.


2 posted on 05/13/2008 12:50:12 PM PDT by Question_Assumptions
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blogsforthompson.com

wow, breaking news, it all comes down to Ohio!

(though...interesting that MI is in a toss up category. That’s gotta hurt Obama!)


3 posted on 05/13/2008 12:52:15 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blogsforthompson.com
My quick assessment showed that the published numbers are based on a 2% margin for toss up. In other words, only when there is 2% difference between the two candidates, does the state count as toss up. What is interesting is what happens if you expand that number to 3 percent.

................2% ..3%
McCain .249 249
Obama ..237 228
Tossup ...52 ....61

4 posted on 05/13/2008 12:58:57 PM PDT by taxcontrol
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blogsforthompson.com

This is easy: Colorado, New Mexico, Ohio, PA go to McCain.

Obama squeaks out Michigan (McCain has done himself no favors with all the global warming crap). Barack also takes Wisconsin.

McCain wins. Done.


5 posted on 05/13/2008 1:33:29 PM PDT by Retired Greyhound
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GulfBreeze; TennTuxedo; AIM-54; SumProVita; Savage Beast; dawn53; StatenIsland; lexusppd; AlexW; ...

Elect John McCain Ping


This is a promising map for John McCain in November. I don’t believe that it’s 100% accurate but it is useful.


6 posted on 05/13/2008 1:56:13 PM PDT by GulfBreeze (McCain is our nominee. No one else.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blogsforthompson.com

Obama has one advantage. If the election ends in a 269-269 tie, the likely Democratic House of Representatives will elect him President. This would happens on this current map if McCain carries Ohio and Obama carries the other tossup states.


7 posted on 05/13/2008 1:58:20 PM PDT by devere
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blogsforthompson.com

8 posted on 05/13/2008 2:24:42 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 (Everytime McCain reaches out to conservatives, conservatives get poked in the eye.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TornadoAlley3

I just don’t see Obama losing every southern state. One of them will go his way, possibly NC or GA with 15 votes.


9 posted on 05/13/2008 2:28:34 PM PDT by CholeraJoe (If my dog had hands, he could be a surgeon. He's already smart enough.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson