[pabianice]

[Semper Paratus]

So exit polls are more accurate than the actual vote count?

[newconhere]

Well, there you go. Its scientific. Bush stole the election again.

[just a dude]

roflmao!

[Gay State Conservative]

I'll bet they're having fun with this story over in DUmmie Land.In fact,I think I'll pay a visit to check it out.

[1066AD]

There's lies, damn lies, then statistics.

(Forget who said that).

[fizziwig]

Where is the official seal of the Democratic Party? Cmon...I don't know how to post pix here.

[DaveyB]

Bush Stole Ohio in 2004

Where is he hiding it? You think someone would have found it missing before now!

[steelcurtain]

A press release from some moonbat Dem group - now that's what I call an authoritative source!

[Always Right]

The National Election Data Archive (NEDA) is the first mathematical team to release a valid scientific analysis of the precinct-level 2004 Ohio presidential exit poll data.

So if we assume all exit pollsters are honest and all participants were randomly selected, then Bush winning was impossible. However, the probability that those assumptions are correct are zero. This so-called irrefutable case has just been destroyed. Q.E.D.

[Petronski]

Exit poll data can only be used this way if exit polls are mandatory, which they are not.

Exit polls are self-selecting, and statistically useless for mathematical proofs like this.



However, I suspect in a couple days this is going to produce a smashing edition of the DUmmy FUnnies!

[BlueNgold]

According to the esteemed statisticians people never lie about whom they voted for and random sampling of exiting voters somehow constitutes a reliable projection.

From their website:
7. Exit polls are unlikely to be inaccurate. We need by county EXIT POLLS by the 2006 Election. By county exit poll comparisons may be available for 2004 by aggregating multiple polls and adding county codes to existing polls to find large enough sample sizes in some counties (No one has mentioned that this is possible for 2004 to me yet though.)

[DaveyB]

...35% of these discrepancies underestimated the Kerry official vote share...

If I read this right - this means that 70% overestimated Kerry's vote share.

Or does it mean that Americans don't like the sanctity of a private vote violated so they lie to pollsters who annoy them?

Or does it mean that conservatives have jobs and don't like to waste time talking to pollsters?

So many question

[finnman69]

this is LW mathematical masturbation

play with the numbers until you get the desired result

[mak5]

The Mitofsky people have admitted that their polls were flawed. Working with bad data, this study reaches a bad conclusion.

The Kerry people deliberately stacked the exit polls, it appears, but whatever the reason, the polls were not at all accurate.

[Solamente]

My personal favorite:

[dirtbiker]

The analysis is based on the most accurate statistical method yet devised for determining whether exit poll error, random variations, or vote count manipulation cause the discrepancies between exit polls and official vote tallies.

So why even have elections, just do exit polling.....

This would be doubled-over, tears-streaming-down-the-face, sides-hurting, can't-catch-my-breath-from-laughing-so-hard FUNNY, if it wasn't for the fact that there are people out there that actually BELIEVE this!!!!!!

[imskylark]

Let's just scrap voting. It apparently doesn't mean squat. Let's just tell the pollster with blue hair that we are voting Republican, I'm sure he will be honest and put down our choice. /sarc