Posted on 01/18/2006 11:22:26 AM PST by pabianice
2004 Ohio Precinct-Level Exit Poll Data Show Virtually Irrefutable Evidence of Vote Miscount
The National Election Data Archive (NEDA) is the first mathematical team to release a valid scientific analysis of the precinct-level 2004 Ohio presidential exit poll data. NEDA's analysis provides virtually irrefutable evidence of vote miscount.
(PRWEB) January 17, 2006 -- There is significant controversy about whether the 2004 presidential election was conducted fairly and its votes counted correctly. According to results of the major national election exit poll conducted for the National Election Pool by Edison/Mitofsky (E/M), Kerry won Ohio's pivotal vote, though the official tally gave the state, and thus the presidency, to Bush. The conduct of Ohio's election was formally debated by Congress in January 2005.
The National Election Data Archive (NEDA) is the first mathematical team to release a valid scientific analysis of the precinct-level 2004 Ohio presidential exit poll data "The Gun is Smoking: Ohio 2004 Exit Poll Discrepancies Are Consistent with Outcome-Altering Vote Miscount" available at http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/OH/Ohio-Exit-Pol... . NEDA's analysis provides significant evidence of an outcome-altering vote miscount.
The analysis is based on the most accurate statistical method yet devised for determining whether exit poll error, random variations, or vote count manipulation cause the discrepancies between exit polls and official vote tallies. This analysis method was made public recently by NEDA in "Vote Miscounts or Exit Poll Error? New Mathematical Function for Analyzing Exit Poll Discrepancy" available at http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/Exit-Poll-Ana...
Exit Polls were conducted in 49 of Ohios 11,360 precincts. At least 40% of Ohio's polled precincts show statistically significant differences between Kerrys exit poll percent and official vote count percent. 35% of these discrepancies underestimated the Kerry official vote share. This is five times the number expected... more...
The Mitofsky people have admitted that their polls were flawed. Working with bad data, this study reaches a bad conclusion.
The Kerry people deliberately stacked the exit polls, it appears, but whatever the reason, the polls were not at all accurate.
Exactly what I'm scratching my head about.
49/11360 = 0.4%
Yep, self-selected surveys of less than half of one percent of the voters are a better indicator than counting the votes of everyone.
SD
Bush Won - Get Over It!
I have that graphic but not on a URL, only on my PC so can't post it here. *sigh*
Thanks, that one is even better!!......:)
So why even have elections, just do exit polling.....
This would be doubled-over, tears-streaming-down-the-face, sides-hurting, can't-catch-my-breath-from-laughing-so-hard FUNNY, if it wasn't for the fact that there are people out there that actually BELIEVE this!!!!!!
Let's just scrap voting. It apparently doesn't mean squat. Let's just tell the pollster with blue hair that we are voting Republican, I'm sure he will be honest and put down our choice. /sarc
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