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To: slane
What is so hilarious about the whole "exit poll" nonsense is that the Dummies appear totally uninterested in the methodology behind exit polls and the many scenarios which can cause significant error.

For those who don't know the fatal flaw in the Ohio exit poll was that many (approx. 200,000) newly (and fraudulently) registered Democrats did not show up with fake ID to vote. Since the exit poll samples are based on registration percentages they were off by approximately 2-3% in Ohio.

It is not just the Dummies who worshipped at the alter of the exit polls. Britt Hume and other media types spent all election night whining about them.

Polls are only as good as the methodology behind them. Anyone who relies upon them is very foolish. Political professionals use polls as one tool in a large toolkit. They would never consider them as a sole data point for drawing any type of conclusion during or at the end of a race.
143 posted on 12/31/2004 8:20:31 AM PST by cgbg (A new song for the Dummies--Brain Dead in O-hi-o.)
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To: cgbg
Not to mention those exit polls were done in the morning when most Republicans were working. They did not include the afternoon, evening or absentee voters and they are more accurate the actual count?? Only to a braindead wishful CommieCrat!! It's tough when the Silent Majority smacks you down.

Pray for W and Our Troops

155 posted on 12/31/2004 11:32:23 AM PST by bray (The First of 4 More Years!)
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To: cgbg

"Polls are only as good as the methodology behind them. Anyone who relies upon them is very foolish. Political professionals use polls as one tool in a large toolkit. They would never consider them as a sole data point for drawing any type of conclusion during or at the end of a race."

Actually, I heard Neal Boortz interviewing Dick Morris shortly after the election. Morris said he had been working with exit polls for 30 years and they were nearly always far more reliable than the one after this election. But this one was so far off because of a poorly-weighted sample. He postulated that the Kerry campaign may have attempted to skew the early results by finding out who was conducting exit polling, where they would be, and when, and then contacting supporters in those precincts to vote at specific times and to be sure they were interviewed. Morris thought that it might be possible that the Dems were trying to make the early voting appear to be so overwhelmingly in favor of Kerry, that it would discourage Bush voters in states farther west. If that's true, then the early results would have been leaked on purpose, for that purpose.


158 posted on 12/31/2004 11:38:45 AM PST by Purrcival
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To: cgbg

Exit pollsters where I voted. Walked up to me and asked me to participate and I said "no" and walked on. Saw that happen over and over again while I was waiting. Never did figure out their methodology. They had a big list though that they kept referencing.


192 posted on 01/03/2005 3:46:53 PM PST by Roses0508
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