Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
FYI! Could you ping the list?
Yeah, Rudy is so serious that he didn't even list his party afiliation as Republican, he left the space blank. What is that all about?
wow, they are going to come after you now for starting a favorable Rudy thread - like those scenes in Dracula where the townsfolk all head up to the castle with torches.
you are very brave.
CUE OBLIGATORY RUDY IN DRAG PIC!
I have my flack jacket on right now -- flameproof too! :)
LOL!!! Won't be long! We can start a countdown 10, 9, 8 ...
If you would like on the Rudy for President 2008 Ping List, please freep mail areafiftyone!
Great chart! But it needs some color! LOL! ;-) (Snicker Snicker!)
Ran out of polls and are now posting campaign ads?
LOL! Of course he is running as a Republican! If you guys spent this time on other candidates, you might find some real problems in their background. Took me about 10 minutes on Hunter or less!
You should put all candidates under a microscope.
You guys are going to have to get up a lot earlier to beat the team he has now assembled to run his campaign. He has the best that the GOP has to offer and any little mistake before is history. The pro's have showed up and are now in charge. They understand politics and what it takes to win -- they are definitely the best of the best and unlike so many on here understand what it takes to win since winning is the end game.
Color is definitely missing!
Posting legitimate information from a website just like I did in 1999/2000 for then Governor Bush and again in 2004 to get the word out.
Your side has been spamming all the threads so I am providing a thread for you to get your information out!
I'm ready to kickass. The primary, where the real fight will be, is strictly business, while beating Osama Obama or Hitlery by 49 states will be all pleasure.
He's such a winner. He bailed and let Hillary have the senate seat. He's never been elected to anything higher than mayor and is a liberal on every social issue.
He's another John Lindsay.
If you had bothered to read it, you would notice that his strategy manager (the author of the press release) is speaking exclusively about the REPUBLICAN PRIMARIES I doubt, he would be worried about the Republican primaries if he was thinking about running as an independent.
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