[Trust but Verify]

It's a guess based on the things we KNOW. 1) She has not been seen for over a month. 2) Joran was the last one seen with her.

Beyond that, we just don't KNOW anything. Some people here think they can solve the case by reading blogs, listening 24/7 to different news reports, etc. That's not how crimes are solved. It's an interesting exercise, but nothing more than that.

[TexKat]

It's a guess based on the things we KNOW. 1) She has not been seen for over a month. 2) Joran was the last one seen with her.

Trust but Verify, you posted this: I have no idea and I won't speculate

Lets see

speculate: To engage in a course of reasoning often based on inconclusive evidence.

speculate: To assume to be true without conclusive evidence

Then you say It's a guess based on the things we KNOW

guess: To predict (a result or an event) without sufficient information.

guess: To assume, presume, or assert (a fact) without sufficient information.

Do you have another word to describe what it is you are doing if not speculating?

[GarySpFc]

It's a guess based on the things we KNOW. 1) She has not been seen for over a month. 2) Joran was the last one seen with her.
Beyond that, we just don't KNOW anything. Some people here think they can solve the case by reading blogs, listening 24/7 to different news reports, etc. That's not how crimes are solved. It's an interesting exercise, but nothing more than that.

We do know far more than that, and there is evidence. However, you want to paint a picture of a girl out of control. Go back and read the threads, and then come back and tell us we don't know anything beyond your two points.