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Elizabeth Smart Thread, 9/17/02 to ???

Posted on 09/16/2002 11:10:48 PM PDT by Utah Girl

Just thought I would start a new thread.


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To: Iwo Jima
You make an excellent point, as always. If MK was indeed coached to tell a story that would qualify for the Rachel Alert, I'm sure the police have learned the truth by now. I still recall the press conference where Chief Dinse sang MK's praises as a witness, saying something to the effect that they had gotten "a tremendous amount of information" from her and that the eventual solving of the case would be to her credit. Obviously, what has been shared with the public in no way adds up to "a tremendous amount of information." I think it's likely that the police gained a great deal of information from MK (bless her heart!) but have chosen to keep this private. In short, I think that the public claims that MK's story has remained unchanged throughout this ordeal is disinformation, intended to keep the suspect(s) guessing about what the police really know about that night.

FWIW, I have serious doubts about the validity of the "armed gunman" story, as it has been presented to the public. However, I do believe that the family (and apparently the police) have reason to believe that whoever Elizabeth left with represents a genuine danger to her wellbeing.

701 posted on 09/24/2002 10:11:25 AM PDT by freedox
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To: Iwo Jima
The only way LE would rule running away out is if they had some conclusive evidence that positively showed that someone had been there and taken her. There must of been something that ruled that out quickly.
702 posted on 09/24/2002 10:30:23 AM PDT by landerwy
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To: landerwy
There is only one key in this whole case. MARY KATHERINE.

Thre are only several questions to ask...

1. Did she see and hear someone in their bedroom that night?

2. Who was it?

period.

703 posted on 09/24/2002 1:52:23 PM PDT by Neenah
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To: freedox
I have serious doubts about the validity of the "armed gunman" story

I'm curious as to why you would doubt this.

704 posted on 09/24/2002 1:54:52 PM PDT by sandude
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To: Neenah
There is also the possibility that that some evidence was left behind by the intruder. That evidence, if it exists, coupled with what you say holds the key.
705 posted on 09/24/2002 2:01:59 PM PDT by landerwy
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To: landerwy
Sorry for the hiccup. Should read:

There is also the possibility that some evidence was left behind by the intruder. That evidence, if it exists, coupled with what you say holds the key.
706 posted on 09/24/2002 2:03:45 PM PDT by landerwy
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To: sandude
sandude, I would only do this kind of research for you, my friend......the following is an old post of mine, addressed to you, wherein I outlined some of my reasons for doubting the "armed gunman" story. Your response at that time was one of disagreement, and you closed with, "I think that debating this further is pointless." However, per your request, here it is again......

To: sandude

"I believe that MK's statements have been consistent and LE and the family have gone to great lengths to not influence her memories."

This is what we have been told publicly by LE, and I can't fault you for buying it. Maybe it's true. Just for fun (and the entertainment of others) let me expound a bit on my reasons for finding MK's story implausible.

I assume you have seen a layout of the Smart home. The bedroom from which Elizabeth was allegedly abducted is on the same floor and in very close proximity to other bedrooms. Not only this, but she actually shared a bed with another sibling. In order to get down the stairs, Elizabeth had to be marched right past the door to her parents' bedroom. There have been reports that Elizabeth and her abductor even stopped by the bathroom during the abduction. We have been lead to believe that Elizabeth was forced to go with this man against her will. In my mind, this scenario is pushing the envelope at best. This modus operandus would have involved an incredible amount of risk to the perpetrator. Although it has been argued otherwise, I find it very hard to believe that a 14 y/o girl and her 9 y/o sister would both remain absolutely quiet during a forced abduction as has been described. Even if attempts were made to remain silent, I find it hard to believe that two parents in the next room would sleep through all of this activity.

I also have problems with the presence of so many friends and neighbors on the scene when the police arrived. According to police reports, these neighbors had not only entered the house, but had also been outside of the home quite literally "beating the bushes" in search of Elizabeth. Did these people have no concern for their own safety? What if someone had actually found that "armed gunman" hiding in the bushes? Were entire families brought to the Smart home to face the possibility of encountering an armed gunman......or were family members left behind unguarded in a neighborhood where an armed kidnapper reportedly lurked? In my mind, the behavior of the neighbors is inconsistent with the belief that a dangerous gunman was running loose in the neighborhood. I would think that their primary thoughts would have been for the safety of their own families.

Perhaps what makes me most doubtful about the abduction story is the lack of "fleshing out" of details. In addition to the lack of a physical description, we have not been told how the alleged perpetrator entered the house, how he left, what he said, what Elizabeth said, what Elizabeth's emotional reactions were, where MK's second sighting of the abductor took place, how MK knew that 2 hours had passed before running to her parents......in short, we don't have enough details to actually envision what we are being told happened. Perhaps the police have their reasons for keeping such details to themselves, but I can't imagine what they might be. I can't recall another child abduction case wherein the details of the actual event were kept so closely guarded.

All of these questions have been discussed here previously, and I know that others have their own thoughts on the feasibility of the abduction story. I will say that I was very encouraged by Jeanne Boylan's remarks following her interview with MK. Whatever she got from that interview, she seemed to me to be very upbeat, very impressed with the way the case was being handled, and very hopeful for a positive outcome.

413 posted on 8/22/02 6:20 PM Pacific by freedox

707 posted on 09/24/2002 2:36:37 PM PDT by freedox
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To: Iwo Jima
Yup, "curious matter" sounds right. Sherlock Holmes stories are the best!

I never can forget that we are violating one of Sherlock Holmes' main principles, every time we come up with possibilities about this case--he said it was a mistake to theorize before one had first determined all the facts that could be determined about a case.

But, since of course the police will only tell us so much, we might as well keep on wondering aloud.
708 posted on 09/24/2002 3:23:18 PM PDT by Devil_Anse
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To: partialpressures
Here's the Smart thread for you. It is in the General Interest forum.
709 posted on 09/24/2002 3:23:58 PM PDT by Utah Girl
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To: Bella
She would rather deal with lies, distortions and innuendo. Never, never any facts.

Put a sock in it JG and go back to the couch...

Yeah, why deal with reality when you can float around in the Logic-Free zone?

710 posted on 09/24/2002 3:32:23 PM PDT by Jolly Green
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To: All
The only fact we have is that Elizabeth Smart is not home.
711 posted on 09/24/2002 3:35:33 PM PDT by Neenah
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To: freedox
Really excellent post, freedox, glad you found and reposted it.
712 posted on 09/24/2002 4:17:28 PM PDT by varina davis
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To: Jolly Green
why deal with reality when you can float around in the Logic-Free zone?

If that's what you chose to call it, fine with us since it needs a name and you're the leader of this pack in the logic-free zone..however, the problem with you is that you refuse to face reality and what's really going on out there..Life's a bitch...

713 posted on 09/24/2002 4:25:09 PM PDT by Bella
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To: freedox
In order to get down the stairs, Elizabeth had to be marched right past the door to her parents' bedroom.

The doors could have been closed, perhaps even by the abductor before entering Liz's room.

There have been reports that Elizabeth and her abductor even stopped by the bathroom during the abduction.

Not confirmed.

We have been lead to believe that Elizabeth was forced to go with this man against her will.

An eyewitness reported this. Either you believe Mary Katherine or you don't. If you don't then you have to believe that LE is completely stupid to have a 9 year old girl fool them for over 3 months.

This modus operandus would have involved an incredible amount of risk to the perpetrator.

A cat burglar thrives on this risk. I think a psychologist could even make a case that this type of criminal could look for greater risks as time went on much in the same way a drug addict goes for more powerful or stronger doses to get high.

I find it very hard to believe that a 14 y/o girl and her 9 y/o sister would both remain absolutely quiet during a forced abduction as has been described.

I don't find this hard to believe. Either through a belief that being quiet would bring a quick end to this "hostage" situation or from fear that making any noise would get Elizabeth or her family killed. I am looking forward to the day when the perpetrator’s words are made known.

Even if attempts were made to remain silent, I find it hard to believe that two parents in the next room would sleep through all of this activity.

Some people, especially those in homes that have many occupants, will sleep through most incidental noise. There is nothing remarkable about the parents not waking especially if their door was closed.

714 posted on 09/24/2002 6:03:55 PM PDT by sandude
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To: freedox
I also have problems with the presence of so many friends and neighbors on the scene when the police arrived.

This was cleared up in the Tribune article that came out after Ricci’s death. The initial officers who arrived at the scene failed to protect the residence. Instead, they searched for Elizabeth in the neighborhood. They failed to tell the Smarts to keep everyone out of the house. I think that they believed this was a runaway situation and didn’t think it was important. They decided several hours later that detectives needed to be called in. By then the scene was contaminated. The SLPD has taken full responsibility for this and has said they need to train their patrolmen on how to handle matters like this. I know the Smart haters will say that the family should have known better. There is no course of study that a parent must pass. I ‘m sure that the Smarts wish that things had been handled differently that morning but to indict them for this lapse in knowledge is not fair. Please send your complaints to the SLPD, they blew it, not the Smarts.

In my mind, the behavior of the neighbors is inconsistent with the belief that a dangerous gunman was running loose in the neighborhood. I would think that their primary thoughts would have been for the safety of their own families.

How many times in the last year have we seen ordinary citizens put themselves in harms way to help complete strangers. They do this out of a sense of duty to their fellow man. Why would you expect anything less when it is a neighbor who is in danger?

Perhaps what makes me most doubtful about the abduction story is the lack of "fleshing out" of details… Perhaps the police have their reasons for keeping such details to themselves, but I can't imagine what they might be.

LE owes us no explanation of the events of that night. Their job is to do what they can to bring Elizabeth home and to successfully prosecute her abductor and his accomplices. We are all going to have to be patient. Hopefully it will all make sense when we find out the details. There are many good reasons for them to be tight lipped about their investigation. Jeanne Boylan found that peace of mind, maybe we will to.

715 posted on 09/24/2002 6:27:47 PM PDT by sandude
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To: sandude
There are many good reasons for them to be tight lipped about their investigation. Jeanne Boylan found that peace of mind, maybe we will to.

Sandude, I think there would be much more fuss and stir if LE really thought there was a perpetrator out there -- that is, a total stranger not connected in any way to the Smart family or their acquaintances.

This case is inactive, IMHO, because LE either knows or suspects someone is being protected or harbored or both, and they're waiting for something or someone to tip their hand.

716 posted on 09/24/2002 6:31:40 PM PDT by varina davis
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To: varina davis
YES!! :-)
717 posted on 09/24/2002 6:39:18 PM PDT by Bella
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To: varina davis
FWIW--9/24 edition of NE: "Utah Kidnap Mystery Solved! How Cops Cracked Elizabeth Smart Case"--this is the headline, followed by a lot of nothing. The article states that SLCPD detectives have concluded that Ricci was their best and only suspect, and that further investigation into the case will not be fruitful.

Their predominant theory: it was a robbery gone wrong, and Ricci accidentally awoke Elizabeth, who recognized him, and so he had to take her.

Elsewhere the article says that the FBI says the case is definitely still open. There are other suspects. They say MK knew Ricci well, and that's NOT the man with the hairy hands whom she described to authorities.

So, what do we have here? Dueling Law Enforcement Agencies? If it is true that SLCPD wants to cold-case this already, what would be their reasoning?





718 posted on 09/24/2002 6:41:49 PM PDT by Palladin
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To: Bella
YES!! :-)

Bella, have you been feeding varina information on the side? Not very fair if you ask me. Why don't you let us all in on your little investigation?

719 posted on 09/24/2002 6:51:36 PM PDT by sandude
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To: Palladin
So, what do we have here? Dueling Law Enforcement Agencies?

Maybe, but then again maybe it's just a BS NE article.

720 posted on 09/24/2002 6:52:40 PM PDT by sandude
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