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Asteroid has a date with Earth, but not quite yet
The Sunday Times (U.K.) ^ | 03/31/2002 | Jonathan Leake

Posted on 03/30/2002 5:18:49 PM PST by Pokey78

SCIENTISTS have detected a huge asteroid which is on a collision course for Earth. But relax — it won’t arrive for another 878 years.

The asteroid, more than half a mile in diameter, is similar in size to the one thought to have plunged into the sea off Mexico 65m years ago, depriving the earth of light and wiping out the dinosaurs.

Jon Giorgini and Steve Ostro of Nasa’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, who led the team that carried out the research, warn that the asteroid has a greater chance of hitting the earth than any of the thousands of other cosmic rocks tracked to date.

They say the encounter will be “extremely close” — with a one in 300 risk of impact. By contrast, the chances of winning Britain’s weekly lottery draw are about one in 14m.

The warning follows data collected last year when the rock, codenamed Asteroid 1950DA, made its closest approach to earth since it was discovered 52 years ago.

Astronomers working for Nasa, the American space agency, tracked it with the world’s largest radar dish, at Arecibo in Puerto Rico.

They had hoped to prove a scientific point about the value of radar in astronomy — but to their horror found themselves looking instead at a rock that could spell the end of mankind.

The results showed the huge spherical rock swinging in and out of the inner solar system with its highly elliptical orbit bringing it ever closer to impact.Armageddon day comes on March 16, 2880, when the asteroid’s path leads it directly across the earth’s orbit.

At such close distances and long timescales the exact behaviour of the asteroid is impossible to predict. It could hurtle by in the narrowest of misses — or be captured by earth’s gravity, punch a hole in the atmosphere and smash to earth.

Wherever such a rock landed it could potentially pierce the earth’s crust, generate tidal waves and throw vast clouds of dust and debris into the air. Last year a government-appointed task force recommended setting up a global network of telescopes to monitor such risks.

The research team, including scientists from Washington State University and the California Institute of Technology, have posted their results on the internet. A scientific paper is to be published this week.


TOPICS: Astronomy
KEYWORDS: 1950da
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To: Zorobabel
Yeah and umm...that comet that is coming right at us as well...geeze why so many trips to the space station guys? Why is France spending so much of its GNP to the "Space Station" all of a sudden? 2012
21 posted on 03/30/2002 7:11:06 PM PST by My Favorite Headache
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To: My Favorite Headache
"Have a look at the year 2012 "

Ok...hmmmm seem to have misplaced my time machine. Mind if I borrow yours?

22 posted on 03/30/2002 7:34:09 PM PST by monday
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To: Pokey78
"Huge asteroid to strike earth - women and minorities will suffer the most!"/sarcasm
23 posted on 03/30/2002 10:30:07 PM PST by 185JHP
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To: Pokey78
THE SKY IS FALLING !!!

Sky found to be a lot higher than previously detected.

24 posted on 03/31/2002 4:09:41 AM PST by theDentist
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To: browardchad
It's the end of the world as we know it, And I feel fine...

Six o'clock - TV hour. Don't get caught in foreign towers. Slash and burn, return, listen to yourself churn.

25 posted on 03/31/2002 8:56:54 AM PST by philomath
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To: rightofrush
Think of the skin on an apple - The Earth's crust is proportionately thinner.

Waxed, or unwaxed?

26 posted on 03/31/2002 6:26:40 PM PST by Frohickey
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To: Pokey78
Oh GREAT!! That's my birthday!!!! It's always been a day that doesn't go well( that's tradition) but ARMAGEDDON??!! I'm moving the date- and the planet- of my party!
27 posted on 03/31/2002 6:33:54 PM PST by ClearBlueSky
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To: Pokey78
Look at the good side. No y3k problem.
28 posted on 03/31/2002 9:16:11 PM PST by JohnBovenmyer
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To: Pokey78

29 posted on 04/01/2002 11:44:40 AM PST by green team 1999
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To: Mr. K
The Earth's Mantle is somewhere between 2886 and 2993 kilometers thick. The Mantle's Crust (=Earth's Crust) varies between 6 and 60 kilometers, with the thinnest being near Mid-Ocean Rifts, and the thickest being under continents.
30 posted on 04/03/2002 4:29:39 PM PST by Graewoulf
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