I was reading or hearing something in the press comparing the chances of ABM versus FotR, and they described ABM as "an emotional movie" whereas FotR is "a fantasy movie." I am so sick and tired of hearing FotR dismissed as "a fantasy movie" as if that is the most important part about it, or as if there is nothing else of note in it. It is probably one of the most emotional movies I've ever seen....
Okay, /end rant
My three predictions are that ABM will win Best Picture and Best Director, and Ian will win Best Supporting Actor. Oh well, we have 2 more shots at the big awards, right?
I sure would love to see the reaction of the Fellowship cast (and director, etc.) to winning Best Picture, though...they would be beside themselves.
From the way they played fast and loose with the facts in ABM I should think it would qualify as a "fantasy movie" itself.
Actually, the darkhorse is Moulin Rouge. The first 35 minutes were terrible, the rest pretty terrific. So, Moulin Rouge just might win since it has the buzz.
What I would like the Academy to award the best picture to the best picture of the year. That would leave it between Lord of the Rings and Shrek.