These are simple compounds of representative average annual rates over 24 years:
Slightly higher/lower averages shift the totals meaningfully because of compounding:
In other words, an average red-leaning state ending the period with roughly 1.2–1.3× the real output of an otherwise comparable starting point relative to an average blue-leaning state (before differences in starting size, population change, or industry mix). High performers (e.g., North Dakota, Utah, Texas, Washington, Idaho) more than doubled in some cases; lower performers grew far less.