Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

California Faults Are Under Their Highest Stress in 1,000 Years, Stoking Fears of the ‘Big One’
gizmodo ^ | 06/09/2026 | Ellyn Lapointe

Posted on 06/10/2026 6:41:20 AM PDT by BenLurkin

The critical role of Cajon Pass

Cajon Pass is the tectonically complex junction where the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults converge. It’s located near several densely populated communities, including Los Angeles, San Bernadino, Riverside, and Coachella Valley.

Burkhard and her colleagues determined that Cajon Pass can act as a so-called “earthquake gate,” controlling whether large ruptures remain confined to a single fault or cross both fault systems.

When stress on both faults accumulates simultaneously toward similarly high levels, it’s more likely that a large joint rupture will cross both systems, according to the study.

The model showed that stress has reached 3.6 megapascals (MPa) on the San Jacinto-Bernadino section, the highest level seen anywhere in the 1,000-year simulation. Meanwhile, the neighboring Mojave South section of the San Andreas fault has accumulated 2.8 MPa of stress, indicating that both segments are under similarly high levels of strain.

Again, this study does not predict when the next major earthquake could rock Southern California, nor does it show that such an event is necessarily imminent. Rather, it offers a clearer picture of the region’s seismic hazard. This critically stressed fault system could rupture at any time, so communities need to prepare for the worst-case scenario.

(Excerpt) Read more at gizmodo.com ...


TOPICS: Science
KEYWORDS: california; ohnoanyway

Click here: to donate by Credit Card

Or here: to donate by PayPal

Or by mail to: Free Republic, LLC - PO Box 9771 - Fresno, CA 93794

Thank you very much and God bless you.


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-70 next last
To: T.B. Yoits
I remember the 1970s disaster movie, Earthquake, where a drunk, I think played by Walter Matthau, survived the leveling of Los Angeles intact except for some dust on his clothes.
41 posted on 06/10/2026 9:02:21 AM PDT by Wallace T. ( )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

How exactly did they determine the stress on the faults 1000 years ago? What measurement tools did they have then?


42 posted on 06/10/2026 9:10:33 AM PDT by Fresh Wind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 17th Miss Regt

The Joooooooooooos! Is there nothing they won’t stoop to!


43 posted on 06/10/2026 10:22:51 AM PDT by j.havenfarm (25 years on Free Republic, 12/10/25! More than 12,750 replies and still not shutting up!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Losing a chunk of California to the sea would be like a good case of diarrhea.


44 posted on 06/10/2026 10:35:13 AM PDT by kenmcg (ti hi o)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: KittyKares

“Remember that there are some good folks who live in California.”

No argument with that but if they are smart, they are planning their escape right now.


45 posted on 06/10/2026 11:28:03 AM PDT by ByteMercenary (Election 2020 was stolen by mail-in voting. Mail-in voting and RCV counting should be abolished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: ByteMercenary

“And he said, ‘Behold now, I have taken upon me to speak unto the Lord, which am I but dust and ashes: Suppose there be fifty righteous within the city; wilt thou also destroy and not spare the place for the fifty righteous that are therein?’”


46 posted on 06/10/2026 11:48:36 AM PDT by Paperpusher (Gal 5:15 But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin; sauropod

Re the San Amdreas, your scenario is less immediate.
The Hayward Fault will likely go first, as usual.


47 posted on 06/10/2026 1:26:31 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (The tree of liberty needs a rope.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

I guess Donald Fagan will be moving back to Annandale.


48 posted on 06/10/2026 2:54:09 PM PDT by Locomotive Breath
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

49 posted on 06/10/2026 2:55:29 PM PDT by dfwgator ("I am Charlie Kirk!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Bernard

Both sides will be pretty high. One in elevation, the other on drugs.


50 posted on 06/10/2026 7:04:19 PM PDT by GingisK
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: KittyKares

I wonder...


51 posted on 06/10/2026 7:05:44 PM PDT by GingisK
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Trump’s Fault.

L


52 posted on 06/10/2026 7:15:04 PM PDT by Lurker ( Peaceful coexistence with the Left is not possible. Stop pretending that it is.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

I’m worried how this would affect the high speed rail project and its cost. :)


53 posted on 06/10/2026 7:28:40 PM PDT by xp38
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: FLT-bird

All the way east to Sacramento?

Now that would be a BIG one.


54 posted on 06/10/2026 7:31:34 PM PDT by Fledermaus ("It turns out all we really needed was a new President!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: ByteMercenary

NAPA valley is already dying.

Like everything libs touch.


55 posted on 06/10/2026 7:34:30 PM PDT by Fledermaus ("It turns out all we really needed was a new President!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Lazamataz

Yes. Another $30 billion CA project.

$20 billion over budget, not done on time and only 5 blocks placed.


56 posted on 06/10/2026 7:36:53 PM PDT by Fledermaus ("It turns out all we really needed was a new President!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Wallace T.

It was Charleston Heston.


57 posted on 06/10/2026 7:39:37 PM PDT by Fledermaus ("It turns out all we really needed was a new President!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies]

To: ComputerGuy
Well, my grandson in SFO called me the other day. He was a bit uptight.

He lives in the airport?

58 posted on 06/10/2026 7:51:14 PM PDT by SFConservative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: xp38

Every crook would get off the hook.


59 posted on 06/10/2026 7:57:45 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is opinion or satire. Or both.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 53 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

60 posted on 06/10/2026 8:50:56 PM PDT by Pelham (President Eisenhower. Operation Wetback 1953-54)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-70 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson