It is tricky in the case of Pratt. Bass is in, and somehow the new votes would have to go to Raman. The difference between Raman and Pratt is substantial, with Pratt having about 25% of the vote more than Raman.
Polymarket has Raman with a 79 percent chance of making it to round 2..so yes they are expecting her to get all the votes and Pratt gets nothing
This “everybody in one runoff primary” is designed to make the Dems permanently in power. Pratt can get 30%, but in the general election the votes will still go to anyone with a “D” by their name.
Its a setup. After the general, the headlines will say “Landslide for Bass Repudiates Upstart Pratt”, when she gets 51% and Pratt gets 40%.
The fix is this: For a non-democrat to win the general, the top 2 in the primary have to be non-Democrats.
So don’t get too excited.
The difference, at this time in 2:45p.m., is diminishing rapidly. Raman could be past Pratt by noon tomorrow.