“Just because the chair, the bridge, the wife, etal acted a certain way in the past, is no indication on how they’ll perform tomorrow”
So life is unpredictable, even for you who believes and claims to know your god and what he wants you to do.
You take your best shot based on previous experience and go with that. Sometimes you miss... and learn from it. Isn’t that what you do?
To me, I have to trust something before I can believe it; just like you posited: You take your best shot based on previous experience and go with that.
Some folks will only let one failure keep them from ever trusting in that thing again, while others may think, "That could have been a bad example, I'll give it another chance.'