Still possible if Israel ties Italy and beat Moldova then they will advance in a playoff game in order to qualify for the World Cup.
Most likely scenario:
Israel beats Italy and Moldova.
Italy beats Estonia and Moldova.
Both teams would be tied with 15 points.
1st tiebreaker is goal differential.
Right now Italy is +5, Israel is +4.
I think it’s impossible for Israel to get a wild card but I’m not sure.
The wild card rules do throw me a bit. I gather that the standings can be in great flux.
Italy beats Israel 3-0. Italy is definitely in; Israel’s chances of a wild card are low; maybe impossible.