I think Trump’s talks with Putin on lessening sanctions and the West’s reentry into the Russian markets did not go as planned.
Putin told him that when Western companies left, Russian companies stood up their places... after much hard work... and that Putin will not allow the West to compete inside Russia against home grown companies.
China has helped Russia to an economic miracle in the face of Western Sanctions. In the Russian Far East, everything changed in 2022; China assisted Russia and the trust has grown replacing the Russian fear that once preoccupied the Kremlin.
The Year 2022 for historical purposes is when both Russia and China were forced to join together in the face of the US Pivot to Asia to have the 2026-2027 planned war with China America had been talking about since the Clinton Admin’s last two years. American policy was to draw down EUropean military footprint and relocate to Asia. We have been relocation Depot level maintenance and warehousing since 2002.
Brics is a economical entity that is not a military alliance. Brics is predicated upon several core declarations, the first of which is no member can participate in sanctions against another member state (NOW TRUMP’S ANTI-BRICS TRADE COMES INTO FOCUS FOR THE UNINITIATED). Also, trade can be conducted in any manner agreeable and can be a combination of barter, trade, currencies, etc., as long as both parties are happy.
The reason Trump is having difficuities with his personal trade policy is that American and Western Investment is going to be kept at a distance in the future by Brics nations who see in real time the weaponization of the USD, SWIFT, Sanctions, and seizure of foreign assets by the West. Those joining Brics have seen the Coup Regime Change operations from afar or at home and will keep the West’s NGOs out. Market pentration by the West may well be over for the forseeable future.
The failures of diplomacy, or the actual lack thereof, by the rouge Obama who illegally seized Russian Diplomatic Missions over false pretenses, followed by both Trump and Biden buildups in Ukraine have not gone un-noticed by the rest of the world.
Obama’s actions against Trump/associates had internation consequences as he and Hildabeast blammed Russia.
Russia is doing just fine. They have thousands of shell companies to get what the West refuses to openly trade. They economic allies in Brics who will provide acceptable replacements.
Russian auto and aircraft industries are now functioning after several years of sanction pain; in fact every sector of the economy has recovered by replacement of Western trade.
It BEARS repeating that the Russian Bear is recovering and further sanctions will do little more damage other than to to the West thru it’s self-imposed isloation via sanctions.
Trump is setting the conditons for the US that Japan faced prior to WWII; only we are doing it to ourselves.
US Forces are being told down to battalion level that US Forces will be engaged in active operations against Russia in the near term. God help our troops. The battlefield of today is nothing like that in my day.
There is no diplomacy that can pull the US back from the brink of world war that we are forcing upon the globe.
The only way Russia can be keep its head above water is heavy subsidies from China. Russia is a demographic disaster only getting worse because of war. War does not advance long term growth because it eats away at assets such as prime manpower and creates perverse economic priorities that are devoted to weapons production. All the energy is behind military efforts and not technological innovation that contributes to economic prosperity.
Russia is well on its way to becoming a vassal state of China. It’s turned its back to the West and has put all their chips on the East. They’ve never done this in the past. They might get Ukraine, but it won’t be productive and assimilated as it was under the Czars and the communists.
Although Russia and China seem to be great allies, I doubt China will just sit and fund endless wars without being repaid. They always want to be repaid . They’re the biggest loan sharks in Africa. Russia’s population is smaller than Bangladesh but they are the geographically largest country in the world. Why shouldn’t China demand land and resources from Siberia as compensation?