I made no such assumption and I stand by what I wrote. It is all a question of turnout.
The Republicans already have two disadvantages going into 2026:
First, Trump's name will not be on the ballot. A lot of low propensity voters showed up in 2016, 2020, and 2024 just to cast their vote for him.
Second, in normal off year elections the party in power tends to loose seats.
Trump won the critical swing states by single digits. Shave 5 to 8 points off the Republican turnout and the Republicans are road kill.
Yelling at your most ardent supporters to shut up and move on is the most tone deaf political "own goal" I have ever seen.
So you’ll be voting against him in 2026 then?
Yup—purity tests are fine with parties that have 60% of the electorate on their side.
They are not wise when elections are going to be close in key districts.