My general read of the election started out with Trump probably losing.
Then moved to a toss up.
Then a belief Trump will win.
Now I’m back to “not sure” because some of these polls favor Harris. That ranges all the way to predictions of a Trump easy win.
The problem being, this isn’t your daddy’s electorate. They are close to turning this country into a California. Not quite but closer.
Which is why democrats can run such embarrassing candidates and campaigns.
Hit a paywall.
I will NEVER pay for the NY Times. Heck, they delivered it today instead of the Post and ruined my day. At least the Post on-line is free.
Why does the New York Times not mention AtlasIntel, Tralfalgar Group, or RasmussenReports polls? The New York Times seems to be saying all credible polls show Harris leading the national popular vote.
“All the news we fit to print.”
In a sense this is somewhat a fair article, because he is talking about one methodology, the recalled vote. However, there is a different universe being picked up out there in which I hope is more true than this methodology.
Then they use a statistical technique called weighting, in which pollsters give more or less “weight” to respondents from different demographic groups, such that each group represents its actual share of the population.