The southern edge of the predicted track can have it clearing the Yucatan peninsula and then streaking right through Cuba...
You and I - and all of us here watching TV - are seeing two totally divergent views. All the predicted paths that I have seen for two days have shown a narrow cone traveling east north east across the Gulf aimed straight at Tampa . . . with possibly 200 MPH sustained winds. The cone is perhaps 130 miles wide so it could hit land 50 miles south or north of Tampa.
The strength of the winds has been steadily rising by the hour but that cone has hardly moved at all. Even four or five days ago that cone looked much like it does tonight.
If you think the storm is headed for Cuba you need to holler loudly because the state is evacuating thousands of people inland today from the Gulf coast. Interstate 4 was jam full like a parking lot all afternoon with cars. If Milton hits Tampa Bay with 200 MPH winds AND a storm surge of 20+ feet ... well, the destruction and death could be apocalyptic.