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My notes on Ukraine part of VIDEO | Ukr Pokrovsk Crisis, Rus: No Talks Kiev; Alaudinov: Kursk NPP Ukr Target, Failed; Iran Rejects US
RUMBLE ^ | 8/14/2024 | Alexander Mercouris

Posted on 08/14/2024 6:38:34 PM PDT by ransomnote


Mercouris ntoes the most interesting point in the last 24 hrs: The Russians seem to be on the point of an attack on Pokrovsk in Donbas. Ukrainian resistance to defend this town is crumbling.

Ukrainian offensive in Kursk:

The Russian authorities are saying that the objective of the Ukrainians was the capture of the Kursk nuclear power plant. The western media is avoiding the topic and the Ukrainians have not said so, but have hinted.

The only purpose of committing 6 Ukrainian brigades to Kursk would be to capture the nuclear plant.

The Chechen commander Apti Aladeenov (Akmut Special Forces) has published a long piece on his Telegram channel. The following are notes on his telegram piece which he says are the result of 'very interesting' information he received (detailed plans etc.) According to that information the Ukrainians have suffered severe losses:
"Well what can I say, to Zel who's overdue?" On the 11th of August they should have taken the plant. Today is the 14th. Your 11,600 or 11,900 men, and the number of tanks tanks involved did not fulfil the task. All your resources remaining are on the move into the furnace, from which they will not come out. This 'blitzkreig' of Zelensky's as planned to seize the power plant and use it as an ultimatum that we should leave somewhere and do something has failed. Next we will systematically destroy every Ukrainian (Mercouris notes Aladeenov uses a stronger word here) who got into our territory. We already got our teeth in and are unlikely to ever let go.... (END OF THIS ALDEENOV portion of the video)

Official Statement from Russian internal security- they have increased nuclear power plant security in response to the Ukrainian attacks.

There's a cascade of releases from the Ukrainian side. Syrskyi claims the Ukrainians have captured 74 settlements. The Russians say Ukrainians have reached 28 settlements. Mercouris says the Ukraine's Syrskyi does what the Ukrainians regularly do, take the Russian numbers and double them.

Russians say Ukrainians are present in a region of 450 square kilometers, Ukrainian Syrskyi doubles that number to 1000 sk Kilometers. The conflict is partly an information war - the Ukrainians are better at the information war than are the Russians. The Ukrainians photograph or film as they go and store the images until there's a need to portray advances, winning etc. but the images may be days old. Mercouris notes this is just a normal part of war. Not everything is information war, but it's a habit of the Ukrainians.

There's footage of Ukrainians pulling down a flag on a school in Sudzha; the Ukrainians claim to have captured the city.
Aldeenov talks about Sudzha to Chanel One television- contradicts reports. "The enemy cannot claim full control of Sudzha because the actually do not control it." He says there are Ukrainians in and around the town - active fighting is taking place. He said the Ukrainians do control some settlements in the Kursk region, but the number of their army means their numbers are scarce.

TASS: They think that if 30 Ukrainians enter an area they control it, but then the Russians start squeezing the enemy out and will certainly go beyond that.

Mercouris: The area is huge and the Ukrainians don't have enough people. This is a heavily forested area, and the settlements are isolated. There are no well established front lines - the Russians are stabilizing around the plant.

Russian Ministry of Defense: drones and artillary strikes prevented Ukrainians from enterring deeper areas. Some of these areas are not on the map and are farms, farmsteads. 2 enemy groups on pickup trucks near Martinovka (near Sudzha)

ransmonote: Mercouris discusses who claims to control what area and I cannot spell any of the names of the towns, villages, farms etc.

After the Ministry of Defense published their remarks they showed a film of members of the Ukrainian 80th and 82nd air assault brigades being taken prisoner in the areas Mercouris just covered. The reports suggest the Ukrainians were trying to cut the R200 road from Kursk to Sudzha and the Russians are implying that they were unsuccessful. The Ukrainians contradict all this. Mercouris tends to find, with some exceptions, the Russian Ministry of Defense usually more accurate. There have been many failed Ukrainian attempts to reach the nuclear power plant.

THE Russian Ministry of Defense says losses were inflicted on located MANPAD hardware clusters of the Ukrainian army, the 22nd and 61st mechanized brigades, 92nd assault brigade, and First Presidential Operational brigade (28:13) and two of the towns listed are next to the border - very close. This appears to be where the bulk of the Ukrainian military is located.

Two Ukrainian 'spearhead' brigades,  paratroopers of the 80th and of the 82nd air assault brigades have suffered such heavy losses that the Ukrainians are having to pull these two brigades out of the fighting in Kursk. That might explain why the First Presidential Operational Brigade, which is apparently a kind of guard unit normally located in Kyiv, although it has been engaged in fighting before, has now been deployed to this area because the Ukrainians are apparently suffering significant losses.

The Russian Defense Ministry lists locations of aviation strikes on Ukrainians (30:21) which I can't spell, but are all located in Sumy region. They list Ukrainian losses over the last 24 hours- up to 270 troops, 16 unites of armored hardware and other details here (30:48) including 18 prisoners from the 80th and 82nd 'spearhead' brigades.(Mercouris mentions there are photos of the paratrooper prisoners)

Mercouris says the losses are lower than yesterday. The armored vehicle losses are declining - this is consistent with what Aladeenov and another source have said - the Russians are specifically targeting the Ukrainian armored units and they have been 'locking them up' in signficant numbers (so fewer remain).

Ministry of Defense (Rus) says since the beginnig of the Ukrainian attack on Kursk, the 'enemy has lost up to 2,300 troops (dead/wounded), 37 tanks (a number which Mercouris calls 'sizable'), 32 personelle carriers, 18 infantry fighting vehicles, 192 armored fighting vehicles, 88 motor vehicles, 4 anti-aircraft missile systems, 2 multiple launch rocket systems, and 15 field artillary guns (ransomnote: Let me know if lists of hardware are useful - they make my eyes glaze over otherwise because I cannot judge the importance/remaining resources.) "The operation to neutralize the Ukrainian presence is in progress."

The enigma about that report is that the Ukrainians also carried out a raid west of Sudzha (an area where Russians report taking prisoners). A large part of this force was ambushed (vehicles, armor - 150 men allegedly) suffered severe losses in Ghiri (phonetic spelling). Russia doesn't say much about this unsuccessful attack other than listing 3 towns where Ukrainians were captured). 34:45

THere's info about Russian brigade 810th separate Marine Brigade (Black Sea) was, according to Mercouris's memory, was stationed in Khereson and was withdrawn from that region mysteriously some days before the Ukrainians launched their attack over the border on Kursk. There was speculation as to why at the time. Mercouris notes this might be another indicator that the Russians had some warning that the Ukrainians were planning their attack (Mercouris notes in another video one of his reliable sources had told him Putin knew about the planned attack on Kursk) and this is why this very tough brigade of Russian marines was moved to the Kursk area. 36:07

This appears to be, apart from some tank units in Group of Forces North, the only regular Russian army formation which is engaging the Ukrainians in actual encounter battles in the Sudzha area. All of the rest of the fighting is being done by the (former) Wagner Organization, the Chechen forces commanded by General Aldeenov, varous militia units, and others.

There are plenty of pics showing Russian armored forces gathering in Kursk. Their priority is to secure the area around the nuclear power plant in Kursk.

Were the Russians aware that the Ukrainians were going to attack the power plant in advance, or were they taken by surprise? Mercouris wonders if there has been a difference in policy and Moscow - did the RUssians get a tipoff in advance of the planned attack on nuclear power plant, did Moscow's Russian Defense Minister Andrey Belousov ask the U.S./ Lloyd Austen if the Americans were planning this attack? Then Austen firmly denied involvement, and then the Americans contacted the Ukrainians and said, "Under no circumstances try anything like this if this is your plan"? Mercouris is speculating - we know the telephone call took place (Lloyd Austen/Belousov), but the MSM didn't say much and we don't know what they discussed, except the Russians gave the US a warning about what the Ukrainians were planning to do, and the US went out of its way to assure the Russians the US would not be involved and did not approve of the plan and was opposed to it. 39:40 So Mercouris speculates that the attack on the Kursk nuclear power plant was the plan the Russians discovered and asked Lloyd Austen/US about.

Some people in Moscow seem to have been reassured by the call with the US/Austen, and likely received further assurances from 3rd parties (China, India etc.) the political leadership in Moscow that this attack had now been called off. Mercouris speculates someone took these plans seriously and started moving regular Russian troops, Chechens, Marine brigade, Wagner, and maybe this person started taking these steps to defend the Kursk nuclear power plant without getting authorization from Moscow. This might explain the real anger on the part of Putin, and of the Chinese. 42:03 Maybe the CHinese asked the Ukrainians about these plans when their emmissary visited China recently, were assured the Ukraine was seeking peace/negotiations, and then the Chinese conveyed that and advised that Russia should back off a little. The Russians would not be likely to be reassured by the US, Lloyd Austen, but would be likely to be more reassured by countries they consider their allies (China). This speculation and guessing may explain what we've seen.

It's extremely unlikely the Ukrainians can still capture the power plant, they don't seem to have enough forces, and if Russian claims about Ukrainian losses are true (mercouris thinks they are), e.g., the withdrawal of two airbornne brigades, then the Ukraine is paying a very very heavy price for this operation.

There was a comment on a one of the Ukrainian Telegram channels (ransomnote: Oh c'mon! There's no way I can spell that name!! 44:20) saying the genius of this operation is that the Urkaine is arranging the destruction of its own reserves. Mercouris notes that might be what's happening.

There are reports (Ukrainian sources) that General Syrskyi is saying unofficially, through channels, that he was opposed to this operation, and thought it was a mistake. Mercouris says Syrskyi is fastening the blame on Zelensky, just as General Zyluszny (sp) did in the past.

Possibly the Ukrainians have occuppied Sudzha (population 5000), if so it's not an important battlefield gain. If they have not occupied Sudzha, then they have not been able to do much in the past 24 hours. If the Russian military report is to be believed, then Russians control various important villages close to Sudzha itself (Mercouris lists them about 10 to 12 of them). The area the Ukrainians have a presence (Sudzha) is becoming contained, there are no clear front lines, but the Ukrainians are still able to send men/machines around, but the front lines are gradually hardening and the Russians are consolidating their defenses, the Ukrainians are taking very heavy losses and their armor is being destroyed.

The main battle is not taking place in the Kursk region despite the media focus there. Russia's Group of Forces North are advancing in other places (areas of Karhkiv, Vovlchansk). 49:42 Mercouris describes the fighting - 5 attempts by Ukrainians to break through etc. The Russian Defense Ministry says a Polish mercenary was captured during the fighting. In Volchansk (sp) in the area of multi-story buildings, Russians took Ukrainian prisoners. Instead of moving troops from areas like Volchansk (sp) and Karhkiv to Kursk, the Russians remain in this area and are exerting pressure, advancing to capture those areas.

54:13 Group of Forces North say: actions of Ukrainian forces in Kursk region resemble those used by the Germans in 1941 (Operation Barbarosa June 22, 1941). The main task of the Germans was to cut into the depths of Russia without engaging in combat, then entrench and fight. In this way the enemy tried to break through (city name) and the nuclear power plant but has been repulsed and loses equipment and soldiers. Even staged clips from the Ukrainian information agencies with city signs look out of pan (fake pictures) 55:10. Victory will be ours. (then they quote Bismark) "Make alliances with anyone, start any kind of war, but never touch the Russians."

mercouris: Behind all the headlines in the west, one can perceive lots of doubt and uncertainty about this operation. NYT says the Americans clearly know exactly what the Ukrainians are up to. Worries are depenening, the Ukrainian losses are deepening in the Kursk region and they seem unable to break through and capture anything more than the odd village, but the Russians are making very real progress (Pokrovsk), where they have captured some villages. Ukrainian resistance near the area is crumbling.

57:48 The Russians appear to be around 7 kilometers from the area near Pokrovsk. Defense circles (Russian General Staff) have told TASS The enemy is not putting up any special resistance in Pokrovsk, and is quietly leaving nearby areas and is retreating elsewhere. The pace of Russian troop advances denies the Ukrainian army the chance to build fully fledged defenses. Grodovka (sp?) is about to fall. If it falls,t here's nothing between the Russian army and Myrnograd (sp?) and the Russians can continue their advance.

Prime Minister Modi was to visit Kyiv August 13 - latest reports suggest the trip is still on, and will probably arrive in Kyiv the 23rd. Mercouris wonnders if the trip was delayed because of the incursion.

About 6 weeks ago, Putin reluctantly set out the Russian conditions for negotiations: Ukraine had to pull out of the 4 regions, the absolute red line was that Ukraine was to commit itself to neutrality. The Russians are now telling everyone that they are no longer willing to negotiate, negotiations may be permanently off the table, that the Ukrainians can't be reasoned with. A Russian diplomat at the UN says negotiations are no longer on the table, at the very least it has put discussions with the Ukrainians on very long-term hold due to the terrorist attack in Kursk.

Holding talks with delusional people doesen't make sense, according to Putin. 103:03:03

From Pokrovsk, news of more Russian advances in Toretzk. Chasiv Yar - Pressure from the Russians is as intense as always.

If Pokrovsk falls, the Ukrainian forces in Donbas are cut in half, supply lines jeapordized.

Pictures suggest that the Russians have not been bombing buildings in Sudzha, where Ukrainians are located, and Mercouris wonders why..

(ransomnote: In a prior video either by Mercouris or his colleague Christoforou, one of them said there is a missile, warhead storage area south of the nuclear power plant. There was also talk of a main fuel (gas) hub in the area but I'm not sure if it was Sudzha)

ransomnote: Ukraine portion of the video ends around 1:07:20.

 



TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: killkillkillforpeace; kursk; kurskoffensive; mic; moondoggiemaximus; russianpropaganda; tothelastukrainian; ukraine; vatnik; welfarewar
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1 posted on 08/14/2024 6:38:34 PM PDT by ransomnote
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To: Kazan; delta7; Rocco DiPippo; aMorePerfectUnion; bimboeruption

PING

TLDR: Russia is of course still winning. No change there. The Ukrainians don’t seem to be able to reach the power plant. Interesting theory that Russia may have asked Lloyd Austen about the attack rumors in advance. Ukraine has heavy losses and defenses are crumbling in some areas, moving or retreating in others. Russia took some prisoners, some Ukrainian, one Polish mercenary. The main battle lines are not in Kursk, but other areas where Russia is advancing in Donbas.

Oh, and Russia’s Group Of Forces North (brigade?) quoted Bismark in their update: “Make alliances with anyone, start any kind of war, but never touch the Russians.”


2 posted on 08/14/2024 6:46:38 PM PDT by ransomnote (IN GOD WE TRUST)
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To: ransomnote
One group of news sources only report that Russian forces have stemmed the invasion and are just mopping up the isolated remains of decimated brigades.

The other group of news sources only mention the Ukrainian successes such as HQs bombed, bombers shot down, more territory taken and Russian forces captured.

I thought alternate universes were supposed to be completely isolated from one another.

3 posted on 08/14/2024 7:00:36 PM PDT by who_would_fardels_bear (Kafka was an optimist.)
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To: ransomnote

It’s not that it’s too long to read. It’s that it comes from a discredited shill.

Mercouris by his own admission suffered serious mental illness from 2006 to 2012 culminating with a fiasco with a client that led him to being disbarred as a Barrister. To replace that income, he began offering himself up as an expert on Russia Today, a platform on which he has appeared more than 150 times.

The best way to think of Mercouris is as a mouthpiece for Russia. The proclivity to lie that got him disbarred serves him well in his new capacity.

Here’s the conclusion of the disciplinary finding against him:

Alexander Mercouris engaged in conduct likely to diminish public confidence in the legal profession or the administration of justice or otherwise bring the legal profession into disrepute, contrary to section 301(a)(iii) in that you purported in a statement dated 11 December 2009 that you had been detained by bogus police officers and taken to a meeting at the Royal Courts of Justice where a senior law lord tried to bribe you to drop a legal case in return for a payment to you of 50,000 plus payment of your debts and mortgage knowing that this did not happen and dishonestly claiming that it did.

Sanction: Disbarred
Costs: £786.00

Beyond that, he’s been dead effing wrong since the prelude to the invasion.

Here he dismisses the very prospect of an invasion:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gcpJ78J1rHk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jacvr7JejU


4 posted on 08/14/2024 7:07:11 PM PDT by Miami Rebel
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To: who_would_fardels_bear

This is from Alexander Mercouris, whose analysis is posted above. It is his account of his insanity which led to his disbarment.

“The person however now had my personal details. Following her acquittal she pressed me for help with another case she wanted to bring. I told her of my depression, and tried to persuade her to look for help elsewhere. She found it impossible to find lawyers to help her, and insisted on coming to back to me.

“Now that I am able to think clearly I can see that her case was hopeless, and that this was the advice other lawyers were giving her. Had I been well I would have given her the same advice.

“At the time, because my will had been undermined my depression, and because my judgement had become clouded by the effect of the drugs, I could not do so. Nor was I able to insist that she leave me alone, or take action to ensure that she did so.

“Instead I fell back on fantasies, which by this point were becoming increasingly bizarre, and in which I increasingly involved her. What this involved was inventing increasingly fantastic scenarios, which I gave to this person in place of real advice or action. At one point I told her I had been kidnapped by the former Lord Chief Justice of England and Wales and that he had tried to bribe me.”


5 posted on 08/14/2024 7:23:15 PM PDT by Miami Rebel
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To: who_would_fardels_bear

“I thought alternate universes were supposed to be completely isolated from one another. “

They are. But our minds bridge them to create understanding.


6 posted on 08/14/2024 7:29:16 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mariner

The alternate universe offered here is provided by a source who confesses to lying and mental illness leading to professional disbarment.

For further confirmation of his worthlessness as a disinterested reporter, I commend to you his YouTube channel. It has two solid years of Ukrainian setbacks, disasters, collapse, destruction, and defeat. If he were to believed Ukraine has lost this war dozens of times over.


7 posted on 08/14/2024 7:41:43 PM PDT by Miami Rebel
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To: Miami Rebel
In the General/Chat forum, on a thread titled My notes on Ukraine part of VIDEO | Ukr Pokrovsk Crisis, Rus: No Talks Kiev; Alaudinov: Kursk NPP Ukr Target, Failed; Iran Rejects US , Miami Rebel wrote:

It’s not that it’s too long to read. It’s that it comes from a discredited shill.

You go on to list all manner of things and you never get around to explaining why Mercouris is so much more accurate than the Ukrainian government, the Ukrainina military, and most of all, the Ukrainian shills on Free Republic. Mercouris is accurate. The world is trying to deal with the huge mistake Zelensky just made. It sounds like a replacement for Zelensky (former interior minister of Ukraine) has been identified. Meanwhile, you can scream that it's not true and claim that Mercouris does not recycle aluminum cans, and it doesn't matter because he is more accurate and balanced than everything the Ukrainians have put forth.


8 posted on 08/14/2024 7:58:52 PM PDT by ransomnote (IN GOD WE TRUST)
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To: Miami Rebel; ransomnote; who_would_fardels_bear; Mariner; bimboeruption; Allegra; JonPreston
Lookit the NeverTrumping neocon weighing in with his pile of horse plop on the Kursk Surround...

We see you, Miami Rebel.

9 posted on 08/14/2024 8:00:31 PM PDT by kiryandil (FR Democrat Party operatives! Rally in defense of your Colombian cartel stooge Merchan!)
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To: ransomnote
see my post #9 for the inside dope on the neocon dope "Rebel", ransom.   

It has a particular agenda.

10 posted on 08/14/2024 8:02:05 PM PDT by kiryandil (FR Democrat Party operatives! Rally in defense of your Colombian cartel stooge Merchan!)
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To: Miami Rebel; BobL; mac_truck; Kazan; PGR88; dforest; McGruff; delta7; aMorePerfectUnion
Lookit the NeverTrumping neocon weighing in with his pile of horse plop on the Kursk Surround...

We see you, Miami Rebel.

11 posted on 08/14/2024 8:06:23 PM PDT by kiryandil (FR Democrat Party operatives! Rally in defense of your Colombian cartel stooge Merchan!)
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To: Miami Rebel

It really sounds like he was set up. But, he’s gone on to be very successful. Mental illness isn’t a death sentence it seems, many people overcome and go on to contribute.

The problem for you is that he and Alexander Christoforou are exposing the truth at a time the Ukrainians are desperate to hide it.


12 posted on 08/14/2024 8:11:25 PM PDT by ransomnote (IN GOD WE TRUST)
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To: All
I do hope FReepers have read the warning about clicking on YOUTUBE links found in the thread below. Don't click on YOUTUBE links until GOOGLE stops installing spyware and stealing passwords when you do!

Google is at it again, new YouTube security threat
 
08/04/2024 12:35:56 PM PDT · by Openurmind · 98 replies
8/4/24 | Member
I have detected a serious YouTube security threat that needs exposure. All IT and security experts welcome to please check into my findings and chime in. Here is what I found so far. Years ago this was a problem. Just going to youtube or Google mail at all even on another tab without logging in would load strong spyware in your browser and even in your machine permanently which required reinstalling your OS to remove. It tracked logins on other tabs and was gaining access to keyboards, microphones, and cameras even if you just landed on their site by accident....

13 posted on 08/14/2024 8:14:48 PM PDT by ransomnote (IN GOD WE TRUST)
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To: kiryandil; ransomnote
>>>>Lookit the NeverTrumping neocon weighing in with his pile of horse plop on the Kursk Surround...

We see you, Miami Rebel.<<<<

__________________________________

miami-rebel.png

14 posted on 08/14/2024 8:16:16 PM PDT by bimboeruption (“Less propaganda would be appreciated.” JimRob 12-2-2023)
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To: ransomnote
No one is more informed on the mess in Ukraine than Alexander.

It's disgraceful that we have Zeepers here attacking him personal because they can't refute the information he's presenting.

15 posted on 08/14/2024 8:17:58 PM PDT by Kazan
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To: ransomnote

You have to have a Youtube account and be logged in to it, yes?


16 posted on 08/14/2024 8:19:38 PM PDT by kiryandil (FR Democrat Party operatives! Rally in defense of your Colombian cartel stooge Merchan!)
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To: kiryandil

No. You don’t have to have a YOUTUBE account. Just clicking on the link will do it- even before the page is drawn it can git ya.


17 posted on 08/14/2024 8:22:27 PM PDT by ransomnote (IN GOD WE TRUST)
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To: who_would_fardels_bear
I thought alternate universes were supposed to be completely isolated from one another.

It's no different than the media coverage in this country.

The leftist media, Biden regime and Deep State consistently try to show a reality that doesn't exist.

But, the map in Ukraine and the battlefield doesn't lie -- the Russians are the methodically advancing daily. Nothing but a surrender or NATO/US involvement could stop them.

There is zero chance Ukraine has the resources to hold ground in Russia.

Alexander, Alex Christoforou and the The Duran repeatedly point that Trump is the one standing up to the globalist monsters that started and have kept this war going. They had Robert Barnes on to expose that fact that assassination attempt against Trump was allowed or, perhaps, planned by Deep State.

18 posted on 08/14/2024 8:22:54 PM PDT by Kazan
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To: Miami Rebel
If he were to believed Ukraine has lost this war dozens of times over.

You are so pure to judge him and yet you give your buddies in Ukraine a pass. You are "contradictory"

.


19 posted on 08/14/2024 8:45:38 PM PDT by Karl Spooner
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To: ransomnote
Both sides in this war tend to look at their favorite sources, downplay source on the other side, and claim they are "winning". Both sides talk about what they say the other side is or is not talking about, which may or may not be accurate, as if that means anything. Mercouris says Russian sources say Western source are not talking about the Kursk NPP. Googling Kursk nuclear power plant shows Western news is talking about the Kursk NPP.

The big picture of how the war or any individual part of it is going is not "my side is winning / their side is losing". Neither side has claimed victory nor admitted defeat.

Regarding Kursk:

  1. The AFU rate of advance is slowing, not stopping.
  2. AFU units are digging in, which shows they intend to hold ground.
  3. Russia has not mounted its main counter action to the Kursk operation yet.
  4. Russia has not driven back or wiped out the AFU out of Kursk. No matter what the Russian information space says, operational AFU units are still in Kursk.
And now for some interesting news. The general in charge of Russian forces in Kursk is Aleksandr Lapin. He was the general in charge of Kherson who failed to stop Ukraine from taking Kherson back. This is a bad omen for Russia.

Should Russia eventually expel the AFU from Kursk, it is going a while.

20 posted on 08/14/2024 9:36:36 PM PDT by Widget Jr (🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦 🛇 CCCP 2.0 🛇)
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