I’m guessing Kamala and the Clown have at least a 50-50 chance. 🙁
There’s the fraud machine, as you noted. I also expect a later October “surprise”. Something bad (and totally false) will surface about Trump. The media will harp on it day and night. That will move the needle.
I say that not to be a pessimist. Instead I say it to emphasize nothing can taken for granted. Remind your conservative and independent friends just how important this election is. It’s Trump or bust for the country.
I think after the debates , Kamala will have some large issues to handle.