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To: Phoenix8; Gen.Blather; GrandJediMasterYoda; Reno89519; Flavious_Maximus; JayGalt; tkocur; ...

Corrected…sorry for the repeat.

I *think* he was trying to say, if he’s elected he’ll fix the corruption or bring about a Reagan-like change of heart such that the Good Guys will always win because 1) it’ll always be a fair election and 2) goodness triumphs evil forever.

But that isn’t true. Especially nowadays. I’ll explain.

The devil is the Prince of Lies. He’s pretty powerful that way. Indeed, we got 8 years of Clinton, Obama, and Bush. While the Dem Machine is never asleep, I’m pretty comfortable that these elections weren’t tipped by The Machine. Parenthetically, The Reagan Revolution ended just 4 years after he left office.

Furthermore, it really, doesn’t take much to tip the scales nowadays - every election from 2004 through 2020 (sans 2008) was decided by 500,000 votes or less. Allow me to quantify that.

Yesterday, Gen.Blather wrote that his Uncle who was big in Ohio Repub circles said “ said, each party candidate will attract about forty percent of the total vote. It doesn’t matter who they are, whether they’re good candidates or even if they’re dead. They get forty percent. All elections are a fight for the necessary eleven percent to make 51%”

He’s a smart man. I would argue, however, it’s actually LESS than that.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_presidential_elections_by_popular_vote_margin

Since Reagan’s landslide in 1984, the popular vote margin ranged from a high of 8.51% for Clinton to a low of -2.09% for Trump.

As we know, the popular vote isn’t the decider - it’s the Electoral College. Thus you have to scrutinize the winning vote margin in those close states that tip the balance to the winner, ie the Tipping Point states.

Since 2004 every election except for 2008 it came down to the handful of states that tip the Electoral College scale to the winner:

- In Trump’s win in 2016, his cumulative winning margin in the tipping point states of Wi, Mi, and PA was 77,444 votes.

-In Biden’s case, his tipping point margin was about 40k votes.

-Obama in 2012, it was about 500k votes.

-Bush in 2004, about 16k votes.

All this campaigning and rallies and debates blah blah blah…it all comes down in general to beating the other guy (or gal) by less than 100,000 votes.

Trump CAN change the hearts of the skeptical. He is bringing in minorities, women, and other usual Dem voters.

But verbal clusters like this mess things up bigly. And this isn’t the media twisting his words; he owns this one.


43 posted on 07/27/2024 8:42:47 AM PDT by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s)
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To: DoodleBob
I'm not that worried.

The gaslighting over The Tater and Kamguzzala is so noticeable that it's going to snap a number of people out of their gaslighted trances.

Also, many of the normal Democrats are going to do more than have to hold their noses to vote for The Fellator.

46 posted on 07/27/2024 8:48:06 AM PDT by kiryandil (FR Democrat Party operatives! Rally in defense of your Colombian cartel stooge Merchan!)
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To: DoodleBob

“I *think* he was trying to say, if he’s elected he’ll fix the corruption or bring about a Reagan-like change of heart such that the Good Guys will always win because 1) it’ll always be a fair election and 2) goodness triumphs evil forever.”

If that is what Trump meant, then that is what Trump should have said; but he repeatedly fails to say what he really means and delivers “shortcut” statements that fail, and sometimes fail miserably.


49 posted on 07/27/2024 8:53:26 AM PDT by Wuli
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To: DoodleBob

“I *think* he was trying to say, if he’s elected he’ll fix the corruption or bring about a Reagan-like change of heart such that the Good Guys will always win because 1) it’ll always be a fair election and 2) goodness triumphs evil forever.”

If that is what Trump meant, then that is what Trump should have said; but he repeatedly fails to say what he really means and delivers “shortcut” statements that fail, and sometimes fail miserably.

“And:Trump CAN change the hearts of the skeptical. He is bringing in minorities, women, and other usual Dem voters......”But verbal clusters like this mess things up bigly. And this isn’t the media twisting his words; he owns this one.”

Exactly.


51 posted on 07/27/2024 8:56:12 AM PDT by Wuli
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To: DoodleBob

What will ring in the ears of Christians is “I am not a Christian”...This will come back to haunt him Nov 5th.


54 posted on 07/27/2024 9:00:29 AM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: DoodleBob

If you’re explaining, you’re losing.

This clip is all over the place. Context doesn’t have a chance.


87 posted on 07/27/2024 11:32:24 AM PDT by CrazyCatChick (DEATH POKE!)
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