I’ll wait and see what the guys in Colorado U. have to say.........
Bastardi is the only one I trust.
I have never figured out why the scientists in Colorado are hurricane “experts” when they never experience one. How about the weather folks out of Miami, New Orleans and Houston?
In any case, I prepare for hurricanes in July because the peak of the Gulf of Mexico season is from mid August to mid September. I have lived on the Gulf Coast for over 50 years and have seen a lot of storms. My wife is a seasoned hurricane veteran also being from south Louisiana.