Again, the same nonsense. It's Russia attacking and Russia getting attritted, in some areas so badly the Ukrainians (weak as they are) are able to counterattack.
Your side has been touting all the supposed Russian advantages from day 1. They have never been able to apply them. Right now they have some advantage because of the glide bombs but that will go away as soon as Ukraine gets more air defense. Russia only has a 4 or 5 to 1 advantage in manpower. All the Ukrainians have to do is keep killing them at a higher ratio and they win. If they win, they get EU membership and a functioning, Western-level society. If the Russians win, they get to steal a toilet or flatscreen TV to go back to the toiletless steppes of Mir. Who do you think is more motivated?
No matter what their fortunes, the Ukrainians will keep resisting. Being killed fighting is better than being killed & despoiled by Russian scum.
How to explain the forced conscription into the Ukrainian armed forces?
The Russian scum happen to be the very same stock of people as the Ukrainians. They both are Slavic.
The big offensive will probably begin some time between May to August. The Russians are slowly preparing the groundwork for that offensive by missiles and bombing of strategic places in the interior of Ukraine, e.g., train stations, electric power plants, airplane runways (including the F 16 runways), etc. Russia is already on a war footing but took time to achieve. Now it is only a case of when the offensive begins. My guess is that it will be after May 29 when Zelinsky will no longer be president — because he didn’t have elections according to the law stated in their constitution. Legally, his signature will be worthless.