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Most of these elections were pretty obvious who was going to win even I wasn’t happy about it. Plus with so many “talking heads” making predictions statistically speaking you’d have a bunch of people getting all of them right just by luck.


4 posted on 02/07/2024 6:35:36 AM PST by escapefromboston (Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations, entangling alliances with none.)
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To: escapefromboston

From 1984 on, only 2000 and 2016 were tossups (perhaps 2004 and 1992, and ‘92 wasn’t as much of a “tossup” as some people may want to believe), so how hard was it to make those “bold” predictions, really? And even get them right! For the tossups, just flip a coin and you’ve got a 50% chance of being right there too.

There was never any substantial doubt about most of the outcomes aside from ‘00 and ‘16, wishful thinking (such as 2012 and 2020) aside. 2024 goes in the tossup category, for now anyway, and we’ll see how the so-called experts fare — will Trump be allowed to run? Then will he be allowed to win?


10 posted on 02/07/2024 6:42:32 AM PST by PermaRag (Joo Biden is not my President)
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