Would be nice to include a news link, instead of just a disembodied opinion:
National is Republicans
Labour is Democrats
National - center-right or conservative
ACT - market liberal or libertarian
these two parties are joined at the hip
NZ First - centrist / populist
this part has swung both ways and is inclined, this time around, to join with National
it looks 50-50 that National + ACT will finish with a majority of the seats
if not, National + ACT + NZ First
Update, looks like the conservative + libertarian have enough
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4189539/posts