Posted on 09/06/2023 5:19:47 AM PDT by MtnClimber
The more the election becomes conventionally unwinnable, the more it will be waged unconventionally.
Remember the “conventional” part.
Elections don’t just come down to swaying the electorate, but increasingly to turning out your base. The Dems are parasitically dependent on black voter turnout. Especially with Latino and Asian voters becoming more erratic. While some Republicans are touting gains among black men, the thing to remember is that they vote in small numbers and the actual Democrat base is the ‘church lady’ electorate. Older black women.
A threat to the Dem black electorate is politically fatal. Or at least it ought to be. And things look grim.
Mr. Biden’s weakness among nonwhite voters is broad, spanning virtually every demographic category and racial group, including a 72-11 lead among Black voters and a 47-35 lead among Hispanic registrants. The sample of Asian voters is not large enough to report, though nonwhite voters who aren’t Black or Hispanic — whether Asian, Native American, multiracial or something else — back Mr. Biden by just 40-39. In all three cases, Mr. Biden’s tallies are well beneath his standing in the last election.
Those are still majorities, but they’re increasingly feeble ones.
Dems don’t win by scoring less than three-quarters of the black vote and the Hispanic vote isn’t supposed to be this close. Biden is within a margin of error of losing the general mass non-white voters.
These are bad numbers, but the numbers were also bad in 2022. What the Dems did was focus heavily on turning out the new emerging base, upscale young white voters with college degrees. Republicans have made crucial inroads among working-class minority voters, but Democrats have more than compensated for it by gobbling up suburban and upscale urban white voters. That Kung Fu move worked pretty well in 2022.
And the Democrats have learned even more heavily on abortion, global warming and LGBTQ issues.
The problem is that this just worsens the drift. The more you court a different set of voters, the worse the bleeding among your existing base gets. Both Republicans and Democrats are experiencing this. A lot of suburban more liberal Republicans have left because they don’t like the party’s new tone, but likewise minority voters are leaving because they think the Democrats have become a woke hipster party.
The Times/Siena data suggests the emergence of a fairly clear education gap among nonwhite voters, as Mr. Biden loses ground among less affluent nonwhite voters and those without a degree. Overall, he retains a 61-23 lead among nonwhite college graduates, compared with a mere 49-31 lead among those without a four-year degree.
And the white working-class vote obviously got on a boat and sailed away.
Brandon maintains his lead among fake voters at 100-0.
Daniel Greenfield ping #2
Conventional means have been out the door for a while now. Joe can win like he did last time. Cheat n’ Fraud.
BTTT
The title is hilarious — as if he won 2020 by “conventional means”.
Although like Pelosi and Feinstein and Fetterman FJB is the Democrat/Communist Party’s “perfect politician” (i.e., one who is incapable of independent thought; one who without question does precisely what they’re told to do by the mulatto-marxist-muslim former president and other Democrat/Communist Party leaders; one who doesn’t interfere with the Democrat/Communist Party’s primary objective of “transforming” the USA from a constitutional republic to a socialist/communist totalitarian state), FJB is not running now, FJB is mentally and physically incapable of running at any time, and FJB will not run as the Democrat/Communist Party’s 2024 candidate because he has served his purpose and because they won’t let him run because Trump would crush him.
He couldn’t win the 2020 election by conventional means, either.
Agreed. He won’t be the nominee anyway.
That raises the likelihood there won’t be an election. They have a whole range of crap they could pull to create an ‘emergency,’ just look what they did in Lahaina. Will a cancelled election be the match that lights a fire or will it just be ho-hum? As long as they control the military we are screwed. If the military wakes up their games crash immediately.
Nothing has been done in the cheating states. That’s all that matters...
Biden is just a distraction at this point, a punching bag for us to poke at while the Democrats prepare their real 2024 candidate.
Some folks think that will be Newsom. But given the right odds (maybe 5-1) I’d put a few dollars on Michelle Obama. She could play queen and wave to the crowds while the Deep State continues running things as before.
Just like the last election.
It appears that a college degree earned in the 21st century is less a marker of education than a certificate of indoctrination. What some ornery cranks have long suspected is becoming noticeably true— the more education you get the dumber you turn out to be.
Translation: The election commissioners are all still alive
I am more than happy to let the Democrats have White Wokesters if in exchange we make further inroads into the Non White working class. Hint: there are a HELLUVA lot more of the latter than there are of the former.
DVotes += 1000000;
That was easy!
I still remember my first job. One engineer that was part of the training staff commented that the less education the new hire had, the few bad things needed to be un-learned. I wonder if that's still true today.
He still has those banana boater voter mail in ballots that have the USPS employees working overtime.
The more the election becomes conventionally unwinnable, the more it will be waged unconventionally.
Biden may be facing an unwinnable election by conventional means. But elections are becoming unconventional. 2020 was a hell of an unconventional election. 2024 is already being shaped by indictments and trials of a possible opposition party nominee. And you can bet that’s not the only unconventional trick here.
The Dems may be running out of Moneyball games they can play with the electorate, but there are still a whole lot of possibilities that can be used to reshape the battlespace itself from election rules to trials.
To that 14th amendment coup they keep dangling in front of us.
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Daniel Greenfield's website: The Sultan Knish blog
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