Posted on 03/13/2023 11:02:30 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
Climate models used by the UN's IPCC and others to project climate change are not accurately reflecting what the Arctic's future will be. Researchers at the University of Gothenburg argue that the rate of warming will be much faster than projected.
Due to the Arctic´s sea ice cover and its harsh climate, relatively few observations are made in that part of world. This means that the climate models used for projecting the future of the Arctic have not been calibrated to the same extent there as in other parts of the world.
Two recent scientific studies involving researchers from the University of Gothenburg compared the results of the climate models with actual observations. They concluded that the warming of the Arctic Ocean will proceed at a much faster rate than projected by the climate models.
"These climate models underestimate the consequences of climate change. In reality, the relatively warm waters in the Arctic regions are even warmer, and closer to the sea ice. Consequently, we believe that the Arctic sea ice will melt away faster than projected," explains Céline Heuzé, climatologist at the University of Gothenburg and lead author of one of the studies.
"We need a climate model that is tailored to the Arctic. In general, you can't use the same model for the entire planet, as conditions vary considerably. A better idea would be to create a specific model for the Arctic that correctly factors in the processes occurring in the Arctic Ocean and surrounding land areas," Céline Heuzé explains.
(Excerpt) Read more at phys.org ...
” This means that the climate models used for projecting the future of the Arctic have not been calibrated to the same extent there as in other parts of the world.”
They aren’t calibrated in the rest of the world either!! The models are unvalidated and do not work. They cannot go back 100 years and get to today...They consistently grossly overestimate any warming that has occurred.
Is there not a large blank space in the middle? Do you ever see a story which fills in this area? Do you ever read a story that emphasizes words like sun and ocean?
I will submit there is no evidence of man-made global warming because no adherent to the popular mythology will acknowledge the existence of the sun and oceans. All I have ever seen are comments on weather events or physical phenomenon involving temperature followed by an assertion global warming is the cause. Such reasoning requires a complete disconnect between events and conclusions, and is no more rigorous than Middle Age alchemy.
I have yet to find any article which attempts to measure the influence of the sun and ocean and then ascribe an increment to human activity. It was only since the late 70’s that it was possible to attemt to confirm changes in the sun’s radiance independent of earth. With out a rigorous solution involving those two enormous engines, models created provide outcomes no more elegant than what is left behind when a brand new puppy is turned loose in a house decorated with white carpets and white furniture.
Even before that time any true scientist would have said data collected could not be analyzed, because people had known for centuries the sun was a variable star and it was not possible to separate influences for any mathematical computations. Now that it is possible to separate the influence of the sun but not the oceans, the analysis of such a complicated interaction is still highly problematic. Therefore, political rhetoric must be substituted for application of the scientific method.
> Nobel Prize Winner in Physics Ivar Giæver Exposes the Pseudoscience of Global Warming
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a15EqcRl8W4
There Is No Climate Emergency
https://clintel.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/WCD-version-06272215121.pdf
Deadwood Releasing 10.9 Gigatons of Carbon Every Year – More Than All Fossil Fuel Emissions Combined
https://scitechdaily.com/deadwood-releasing-10-9-gigatons-of-carbon-every-year-more-than-all-fossil-fuel-emissions-combined/
Six Facts the Left Doesn't Want You To Know About Global Warming
https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2021/07/12/six_facts_the_left_doesnt_want_you_to_know_about_global_warming_784976.html
How Strongly Does The Sun Influence The Global Climate?
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2004/08/040803093903.htm
The Coming Modern Grand Solar Minimum
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/04/the_coming_modern_grand_solar_minimum.html
Earth’s Atmosphere Far Dustier Than What’s Used By Climate Models
https://climatechangedispatch.com/earth-atmosphere-dustier-climate-models/ https://www.space.com/earth-atmosphere-dustier-thought-climate-models.html
THE SUN DEFINES THE CLIMATE
http://www.gaoran.ru/english/astrometr/abduss_nkj_2009.pdf
NO EXPERIMENTAL EVIDENCE FOR THE SIGNIFICANT ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1907.00165.pdf
About 71% of Earth's surface is covered with water
https://www.bing.com/search?q=ocean+covers+earth+surface&qs=HS&pq=ocean&sc=8-5&cvid=77158D6CE73349C39BD38ADD013981D8&FORM=QBLH&sp=1
average depth of the ocean
https://www.bing.com/search?q=average+depth+of+the+ocean&qs=AS&pq=average+depth+of&sk=AS4&sc=8-16&cvid=A99F904F5C134064AC2515F09AF505BC&FORM=QBLH&sp=5
Carbon Dioxide Fertilization Greening Earth, Study Finds
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth
Climate Alarmists Foiled: No U.S. Warming Since 2005
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2019/08/23/climate_alarmists_foiled_no_us_warming_since_2005_110470.html
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
U. S. Climate Reference Network
Over 1000 Scientists and Professionals Sign Formal Declaration: “There is No Climate Emergency”
https://legalinsurrection.com/2022/08/over-1000-scientists-and-professionals-sign-formal-declaration-there-is-no-climate-emergency/
Global warming Petition Project
http://www.petitionproject.org
Well, in fact, the actual Arctic sea ice has remained steady since 2007.
Now, it DID DECLINE between the highs back when the first satellite measurements began in 1978-79.
Declined noticeably from (about) 1983 to 2006. Yes, sea ice decreased!
Since 2007 - now 1/3 of the entire 45 year satellite record, SEA ICE HAS REMAINED STEADY.
At one time the Sahara was lush and green....now it's a desert.
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