Posted on 10/24/2022 1:08:00 PM PDT by janetjanet998
as of this morning mail ins
Dems 491,693 return rate 26.5% Reps 444,933 return rate 31.8
Dems up 46,760 in mail ins as of this morning
1st day of EV as of 3pm
Reps 40,482 Dems 23,575
Reps +16,907
Keep in mind not all counties started EV yet and the one missing are mostly red!! (will start later in the week)
Holy Sh*t look at Miami-Dade combined VBM/EV
R35,575 D46,196 Other1,355 Indie24,000
With the indies voting 2 to 1 against Biden, that’s almost a red county.
yep
see post 13
R’s picked up a net +1300 in early votes today so far
I assume that this does not show the cross over vote. More likely for cross over votes in the democrat party this time around.
correct just by voter registration
And they have no answer for him. None.
Yes and that’s why he needs to be the nominee.
5pm update day 1 EV
Reps 50,921
dems 30,645
Reps +20,276 EV
I expect the usual late night ballot dump or as I like to call it, abra ca dabra.
i read that as “Abra, Caca Dabra”.
Those days are long over. DeSantis cleaned up that nonsense, fired the corruptocrats, and won the court challenges.
“Yes and that’s why he needs to be the nominee.”
He won’t be the nominee.
Mr DeSantis has a rather large Orange Hurdle to overcome.
imho the dems will hate their choices this time around and stay home. they won’t vote republican. rather won’t vote all.
There should be a cut-off on the acceptance of votes with no vote counting done until after the cut-off.
The constant counting from the moment the first vote arrives only lets bad actors know how many votes need to be manufactured.
If this keeps up Democrats will demand that Election Day must be returned to a single day nationwide.
If this keeps up Democrats will demand that Election Day must be returned to a single day nationwide.
Latest polls average Desantis +10 Rubio +6
Trump was +3.5ish in 2020
But those will likely be low if this keeps up....
some of it has to do with Red warriors moving to FL the past 2 years but I wonder how much it is pro DeSantis and/or Anti Biden
hopefully more anti Biden and it will replicate nationwide
Pasco starts EV tomorrow. FL-15 (a new district) will elect Laurel Lee. Her husband was a state senator.
Yeah, I think also they know they’re the reason for this economic depression.
This is interesting. Its just the first day of in-person EV in Florida but I don’t remember seeing anything this drastic.
2020 - 45R / 32D / 23I (R advantage net 558k votes)
2018 - 39R / 42D / 19I (D advantage net 86k votes)
It’s hard to make any real comparisons though. 2020 was obviously a presidential year. Historically, Republicans did well with vote-by-mail and Democrats usually won the in-person EV. Those trends completely turned on their head in 2020 as Dems were scared to leave their house during covid.
Plus .. hard to see either major race as competitive. You got a freaking former Republican in Crist as their gov candidate, and it feels like the only real enthusiasm on their side is “anyone but DeSantis” which is only going to go so far.
FLORIDA 7PM EARLY VOTE IN PERSON UPDATE
56,035 GOP
34,462 DEM
15,818 NPA
1,398 Other
+21,573 52% R 32% D
Strong Red Sumter County (the villages) starts EV tomorrow
Strong Reds Martin, St Johns, Nassau, Martin start Weds
Big reds Marion and Collier start Thurs
Strong reds Clay and Citrus start Friday
and two bigger strong Red Panhandles counties start Saturday (Walton and Okalossa ) Don;t start util saturday
With about a dozen more small but Red counties starting Weds-Sat
The problem is that the vast majority of the Democrat election thieves had absolutely no negative consequences as a result of their crimes. So they have every incentive to pull the same “sudden discovery” of “previously overlooked ballots” all of which in defiance of the laws of probability are for the Democrat candidates.
Rough estimate is R +21,600 early vote today
Dems only +5100 on total mail in’s today
Net gain of 16,000 for rep
True, but I think the number of these is limited.
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