Most armies that intend to occupy or re- occupy an area don’t destroy the bridges they themselves will need to advance
Maybe the Ukes arent quite confident they would be welcomed as liberators in an oblast 84% under Russian control or influence, whose Russian speaking population has for years been treated punitively as sub human by Kiev, and that is considering a referendum to join the Russian Federation once the threat of retaliation is reduced
It’s going to be hilarious to watch all of the videos of the Buryats and Syrians currently trapped in Kherson trying to swim across the Dnieper to escape to Crimea. LOL!
Kherson pro-Ukrainian protests under Russian occupation
“Most armies that intend to occupy or re- occupy an area don’t destroy the bridges they themselves will need to advance”
This isn’t about the advance of the Ukrainian army it’s about cutting off the primary supply route for the Russia army that is now trapped on the west side of the Dneiper River. It also means that the Russian troops won’t be able to evacuate their armor for a retreat.
Ukraine SitRep - Casualties Leak - Ukraine Admits Russian Breakthrough - Southern Front Paralysis
> New Moon of Alabama
There is an report on Ukraine making the rounds that was allegedly written by the higher command of the Ukrainian army and leaked from somewhere.
Ukrainian channels are discussing what might be a leaked data from AFU General Staff:
- The AFU are only at 43-48% strength
- medical workers at their limit
- small arms and armor are not enough
- 191 thousand soldiers were killed and wounded (only AFU, not including others)
- there is not enough hydraulics and liquid nitrogen for M777 howitzers
- no one cares about the missing - there are no statistics
- the equipment transferred by the West is running out
- western weapons are operated by amateurs, since there are no qualified specialists
- no way to repair weapons on the spot due to the lack of spares and specialists - everything is sent to Poland
BTW, even with this dire report, I would caution against predicting a decisive break in morale. As with Peski, the walking wounded are sent straight back into the trenches
There are some pictures of documents written in cyrillic script attached to the above tweet.
The documents look legit. The overall numbers and issues mentioned seem plausible to me.
[rest at link]
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/08/ukraine-sitrep-casualties-leak-ukraine-admits-russian-breakthrough-southern-front-paralysis.html
“Maybe the Ukes arent quite confident they would be welcomed as liberators in an oblast 84% under Russian control or influence, whose Russian speaking population has for years been treated punitively as sub human by Kiev, and that is considering a referendum to join the Russian Federation once the threat of retaliation is reduced.”
I think Ukraine might be writing off Crimea, at least for the time being. However, driving the Russians back onto the peninsula, and cutting them off from direct contact with Eastern Ukraine, makes sense. But, we’ll see.