And I understand what you are saying as well. With government incentives it is possible that electric vehicles will play a larger role than if the free market were allowed to pick winners and losers. The future that you foresee is completely dependent on limited supplies of foreign resources that the USA has very limited control over.
Actually, it is not possible to predict anything except change is coming.
I say two simply because many seem to believe that Rivian is not for real. Ford opted out of a Rivian/Ford consortium
At present there are two apparent very strong potential producers of electric pickups that have absolutely no dependence on any foreign sources.
Ford is well into electric pickup production and has in effect bet the entire farm on those vehicles. Tesla has a pickup but has not begun production because it is concentrating on capturing the largest market share for electric cars.
From a design and technology position, vertically integrated Tesla has a definite advantage. The appearance of the Tesla pickup is radical and may not be acceptable as a working truck. With the evolution of a 4 door luxury truck filled with every bell and whistle known to man, the concept of a working truck may not actually exist any more
My crew cab dodge of the past was a utilitarian vehicle that made me money by hauling my crews and their tool to the job. Such a truck apparently does not presently exist. My personal 6 cylinder GMC straight drive utilitarian long bed pick up is apparently not common if it exists. It was 15 years old whwn I sold it at auction