Redistricting update: by my math, if the final states shake out how we expect, 227/435 House seats will have voted for Biden under new lines, up from 224/435 today.
And, 212 House seats would be more pro-Biden than the nation as a whole, up from 207 today.— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) May 19, 2022
However, because so many of the new Biden-won seats are so marginal and so many marginal Trump seats got *a lot* redder, the @CookPolitical scorecard shows Rs are actually on track to net ~2 seats from new maps alone. Overall, pretty close to a wash. https://t.co/kk9Bwpx8Hv pic.twitter.com/TbZ3XmlPHr— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) May 19, 2022
But the most dramatic shift? A decimation of competitive seats.
On the current trajectory, only 33/435 seats will have voted for Trump/Biden by 5 pts or less, down from 51/435 seats today (-35%).— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) May 19, 2022