However, because so many of the new Biden-won seats are so marginal and so many marginal Trump seats got *a lot* redder, the @CookPolitical scorecard shows Rs are actually on track to net ~2 seats from new maps alone. Overall, pretty close to a wash. https://t.co/kk9Bwpx8Hv pic.twitter.com/TbZ3XmlPHr— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) May 19, 2022
But the most dramatic shift? A decimation of competitive seats.
On the current trajectory, only 33/435 seats will have voted for Trump/Biden by 5 pts or less, down from 51/435 seats today (-35%).— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) May 19, 2022
Of the eight states where the census overcounted, six were heavily Democratic so don’t expect this to be a scandal. https://t.co/hB5cbyWG19— Mark Hemingway (@Heminator) May 19, 2022
BREAKING: 14 state populations were significantly miscounted in 2020, the Census Bureau said — a revelation that comes after the numbers were already used to divvy up House seats for the next decade.https://t.co/w2fKTPwI2s— NPR (@NPR) May 19, 2022
That’s not good.