I would point out also that the situation with Covid is dynamic. This means that it is changing all of the time and it varies greatly from one locale to the other. The fatality rate from the original CCP/Fauci gain of function form of Covid has little relationship to the fatality rate of the current prevalent strains.
You cannot apply a constant to a dynamic situation and expect it to have any accurate predictive value. You seem to be a reasonable, intelligent person, but you have a belief system that is being led astray by logical fallacies.
Of course it’s dynamic and the numbers will change when we get better numbers. The fatality numbers I’m using are what we are seeing in Central Virginia as of right now...other localities’ info may vary. I’m reasonably sure of our local numbers but I agree with your point about the fluidity of the total numbers.