hokkoda
November 13, 2021 9:39 pm
A few months ago, I shared with you all some simple math to show that the total fatality rate for COVID19 is not much higher than seasonal flu. The TFR for seasonal flu varies from 0.1%-0.3% depending on the year.
I based my math on studies in 2020 which showed that roughly 80% of people who get COVID19 never notice it, or they get the sniffles and a low-grade fever and assume it’s just a summer cold. (Because they’ve been conditioned to believe COVID19 is a death sentence, mainly.) Although this was March 2020 when I first did the computations, and I did it again last summer here at CTH, I came up with a TFR of 0.3-0.5%. It just depends on the estimate you use for the number of low-symptomatic or asymptomatic cases.
If you take that 80% number which has shown in studies in New York, that Japanese cruise ship, CA, etc, and look at the current 37,900,000 “positive tests”, and assume those are the 20% sick enough to get tested, that means the TOTAL number of cases is 37,900,000 div 0.2 = 189,000,000 cases. 783,000 deaths divided by 189,000,000 cases = 0.4% total fatality rate, about 2x seasonal flu.
If you take a bit more cautious estimate, say 70-75%, you get 126,000,000-150,000,000 cases…which is almost precisely the CDCs estimated range of the true number of COVID19 cases. Why? Because they used 75%. (I can’t tell you how many Progs and stupid people told me that I pulled 75% out of my arse, but it was always based on studies in urban areas and the Japanese cruise ship…that 80% number came up a LOT in early 2020.)
“The CDC estimates that 124 million of the 146.6 million infections resulted in “symptomatic illnesses,” although it is unclear why only one in four infections sought out medical treatment. The CDC further estimated that there were 7.5 million hospitalizations, although ‘hospitalizations’ may include routine treatment that happened to turn up a positive Covid-19 test, greatly inflating the figures.”
Divide again, and you get a TFR of 0.5%.
QED.
CDC link: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html
Why does it matter? Because they are most likely flat-out lying about vaccines outperforming natural immunity.
Paca
November 13, 2021 7:39 pm
The reason is the damage is long term. Cancer rates are up 20x normal rates.
This video discusses new surprise discovery (yet to be confirmed by other scientists) that SARS-CoV-2 full length spike protein can enter human cell nuclei and interfere with fixing of broken DNA damage. Authors of the study propose this might have been evolved in order to prevent genetic recombination required to produce antibody variety to successfully attack the virus. If true, and if this could have important implications for potential negative health outcomes
Reread later about Covid19 info.