Posted on 08/04/2021 3:37:05 PM PDT by 11th_VA
Solar Cycle 25 is heating up faster than expected. The latest sign may be found in sunspot counts from July 2021. Continuing a trend that started last year, they overperform the official forecast.
Issued by the NOAA/NASA Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel in 2019, the official forecast calls for Solar Cycle 25 to peak in July 2025. However, a better fit to current data shows Solar Cycle 25 peaking in October 2024. This is just outside the 8-month error bars of the Panel's forecast.
July 2021 was a remarkable month. Solar Cycle 25 crossed multiple thresholds, including its first X-flare and, at one point, 6 sunspots on the solar disk. The last time so many sunspots were seen at the same time was Sept. 2017 (SWx archive). One farside CME in July was so strong it affected Earth despite being on the "wrong" side of the sun. A handful of other CMEs narrowly missed our planet.
If solar activity increases apace, some of those blows will soon begin to land. Stay tuned…
THE PERSEID METEOR SHOWER IS UNDERWAY:
So it begins. Earth is entering a stream of debris from Comet 109P/Swift-Tuttle, source of the annual Perseid meteor shower. Although it won't peak until next week, the shower is already active...
When is the peak? The night of Aug. 11-12 will probably be best, with adjacent nights only a smidgen less active. Perseids may be seen at any time after ~10 pm local time. Rates increase after midnight when the constellation Perseus is high in the sky…
(Excerpt) Read more at spaceweather.com ...
OH NOES! We’ll all get blown over by the solar winds.
Might that have some influence in Earthly climate change?
How are the leftists going to control The SUN? Install a thermostat or on-off switch on it?
Premature ejection.
Are we still in the beginning or some part at a minimum
bad article because it does NOT happen to mention we are on and have been a BIG solar decline.....instead it emphasizes a small recovery like it’s a big deal....just more fear porn for the uniformed....
Want to learn more so you won’t be fooled? just research solar min/max and how we have been behind for 20+ years....
In the long term we are very late for a huge minimum. The long term combined solar isolation started to decline about 8,000 years ago. We are just late catching up to that change. Takes a while for that to pan to cool down.
But it is coming, just as it always has in the very real paleoclimatic model cycle.
Don’t worry! The Solar Minimum will be here before the Antarctic melts and the penguins DIE!
https://bigthink.com/news/the-solar-minimum-is-coming-in-about-30-years-what-will-it-do
Yes it will... :)
Thank you for your very productive think tank style discussion...
You just lowered the IQ level of the thread by about 45 points.
To misquote Churchill slightly, We are apparently just past the “end of the middle of the minimum” (between solar cycles 24 and 25), but still are in the “beginning of the beginning” of solar cycle 25.
Be very, very careful of these “projections” of any solar cycle: NASA-GISS and their cohorts in the various national solar labs have seldom been correct at anything but actual counts each month. Overall solar activities have been decreasing through each subsequent 11 year cycle since the late 1990’s. We do not, however, appear to be still sitting in a near-zero solar flare/solar sunspot level comparable to the Maunder Minimum.
The present Solar cycle might end up being the space age’s biggest dud, more likely, quipped Ace Drummer John Boy McClooney upon hearing of the NASA narrative
bought it down to your level then... eh?
Way overrated crap. Relax.
QUICK!!! Pass a law. Spend some money. Add a regulation. Raise taxes. We must do something, ANYTHING to avoid catastrophic global calamity. Only the government can save us.
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