Replies

Interesting “insider” comment by LS on this thread:

Trump administration removes senior defense officials and installs loyalists, triggering alarm at Pentagon

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3904620/posts?page=44#44

From the link:

“Just spoke to a highly placed intel person.

“Did you find this unusual?”
A: “Everything about this election is unusual. We all thought he’d be gone before the election, but Trump thought it was ‘too political.’”
Q: But “if Trump believes he is gonna lose, why not let Esper ride it out?”
A: No response. “What’s your theory?”
Q: “That Trump thinks he’s gonna win, there will be civil unrest, and that he needs someone in he can trust.”
A: “Sounds pretty good to me.”

Note this reply from our MqD:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3904620/posts?page=70#70

“I believe Trump determined he would absolutely be able to prove the cheating beyond doubt before he started his second term actions, including removing Esper and cleaning house at the Pentagon.

I do believe there is going to be civil unrest. Hard to tell fear porn from reality on Youtube, as everywhere else, but I keep coming across rumors of a trucker’s strike that is meant to drain areas of supplies while lockdown halts travel to other areas to obtain supplies, then large urban areas have defunded police departments. “Helping along” civil unrest by fomenting scarcity and competition for resources - softening the ground for antifa types.”

We ought to prepare, no matter what.

Also, tweeter has stopped flagging posts about the election as “disputed”:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3904620/posts?page=35#35

Owens still leads McAdams in Utah’s 4th Congressional District (99% Reporting)

LS to 11th_VA
Spoke with someone from SLC: “this isn’t over. They’ve gone back and forth and there are a lot of SCL precincts still out.” (i.e., not Burgess Owens precincts).

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LS to newfreep
Let’s get specific:

1) I said Trump would win with “between 320 and 340 EVs.”

Since this is horribly tainted by fraud, it’s hard to judge. At the very least he still can win with about 300 EVs. I doubt they will waste much time on fraud in MN and NV, which would give him 322, but . . .

2) I said the Rs would hold the senate at best 53-47, at worst 51-49. We are at the latter but with John James in contention and with the GA race in a runoff. So, probably right on the money.

3) I said we would come close in the House but fall short. We are now at 207 with another 7 seats likely to go R.

4) I said Trump would nationally get 12-15% of the black vote (BINGO-—12%) with another “4-5% staying home” (BINGO: the black vote was about 4% off where we can accurately measure it in FL and NC).

5) I said Trump would win FL by “2-3 points.” BINGO

6) I said Trump would “come close” to winning a majority of Hispanics in FL. (48%)

Now, since you’re so concerned I-—unlike anyone else on FR-—will actually point out to you where I was wrong:

I said Trump would carry every one of his 2016 states with a higher margin. Right in FL, MI, WI, PA, wrong in NC, AZ, GA. Almost exactly the same in NV.

Again, however, we don’t know what role fraud played in all of these. It’s entirely possible I was right across the board. For example, he lost NY by only 13 points.

He came up about 1 point lower in OH than in 2016-—but, sigh, again we don’t know what role fraud played in that.

In short, when you compare my predictions to those of virtually every pollster except Baris, they are far better.

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LS to BigEdLB
WI is pretty close. I think he’s at 20,000 now, quite doable.

MI is a lot: it’s 146,000, but again, they found 4,000 from just one machine that was in 47 locations in one county. So there is plenty of leeway there.

PA can be handled by the USSC and may be flipped even before that.

However, you are now looking at a “run the table” scenario where we have to win AZ, flip two of four (MI/MN/PA/GA). Then hope the state legislatures, seeing the fraud that went on, certify the right slate. Doable, but not easy at all.

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