So the President is up by 680,000 in PA with a compromised Secretary of State against him;
he won Georgia and North Carolina;
he's up beyond the # of outstanding votes in Michigan with Red areas left to count,
and close to the same in Wisconsin.
In AZ, we have Maricopa County -- though called for Biden by Faux News, hasn't started counting election day ballots in Maricopa County;
and yet, somehow, Maricopa County had an INCREASE of 250,000 voters for Biden over Hillary
-- the largest increase in 1 county in US history
-- and unlike every other state where Trump did better than 2016.
And the President is up by 150,000 in blue, blue VA, with the Deep Blue areas in and around Fairfax already having shot their wad.
But "Biden won."
Time to warm up the helicopters.
Baris now lists 225 electoral votes for Biden, 213 for Trump. This sounds insane.
The thing I did that Baris may not have done, is I weighted the uncounted votes by the ratio of Trump/Biden already-cast votes. I think he ballparked it, frankly, he wouldn’t have had the time to run the numbers like I did. I’ve seen him all over the internet appearing live.
But his ballpark, and my detailed drilldown, agree. 30-40 thousand Trump advantage.